Table 4.
Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OR | 95% CI | OR | 95% CI | OR | 95% CI | |
Intercept | 0.03 *** | 0.02 – 0.04 | 0.05 *** | 0.03 – 0.07 | 1.53 | 0.91 – 2.55 |
State incarceration rate | 0.86 *** | 0.81 – 0.93 | 0.88 ** | 0.82 – 0.95 | 0.88 * | 0.80 – 0.98 |
Zip code % Black | 1.01 ** | 1.00 – 1.02 | 1.02 ** | 1.01 – 1.03 | ||
Zip code % Poor | 0.95 *** | 0.94 – 0.97 | 1.08 *** | 1.05 – 1.11 | ||
County code crime rate | 0.99 *** | 0.99 – 1.00 | ||||
County unemployment rate | 0.49 *** | 0.47 – 0.52 | ||||
Party control of state legislature | ||||||
Democratic (reference) | ||||||
Republican | 0.46 *** | 0.34 – 0.61 | ||||
Split | 0.53 *** | 0.39 – 0.72 | ||||
Random Effects | ||||||
σ2 | 3.29 | 3.29 | 3.29 | |||
τ00 | ||||||
state/county | 1.22 | 1.32 | 1.92 | |||
county | 0.43 | 0.41 | 1.36 | |||
ICC | 0.33 | 0.35 | 0.50 | |||
N | ||||||
state | 51 | 51 | 50 | |||
county | 2597 | 2596 | 2512 | |||
Observations | 88557 | 88551 | 88072 |
p<0.05
p<0.01
p<0.001