Table 6.
Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | Model 4 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OR | 95% CI | OR | 95% CI | OR | 95% CI | OR | 95% CI | |
(Intercept) | 0.97 | 0.89 – 1.06 | 1.12 | 0.95 – 1.32 | 1.27 * | 1.04 – 1.53 | 1.35 ** | 1.10 – 1.66 |
Lagged ADP rate | 1.01 | 0.99 – 1.02 | 0.97 * | 0.95 – 0.99 | 0.97 * | 0.95 – 0.99 | 0.97 * | 0.95 – 0.99 |
Year | ||||||||
2001 | 0.99 | 0.88 – 1.11 | 1 | 0.89 – 1.12 | 0.99 | 0.89 – 1.12 | 1 | 0.89 – 1.12 |
2002 | 1.04 | 0.92 – 1.16 | 1.03 | 0.92 – 1.15 | 1.03 | 0.92 – 1.15 | 1.03 | 0.92 – 1.17 |
2003 | 1.15 * | 1.02 – 1.30 | 1.13 * | 1.00 – 1.28 | 1.13 * | 1.00 – 1.27 | 1.14 | 1.00 – 1.29 |
2004 | 1.15 * | 1.02 – 1.29 | 1.12 | 0.99 – 1.26 | 1.11 | 0.99 – 1.25 | 1.11 | 0.98 – 1.26 |
2005 | 1.24 *** | 1.10 – 1.40 | 1.22 ** | 1.08 – 1.37 | 1.21 ** | 1.07 – 1.36 | 1.20 ** | 1.07 – 1.36 |
2006 | 1.16 * | 1.02 – 1.32 | 1.14 | 1.00 – 1.30 | 1.14 | 1.00 – 1.30 | 1.13 | 0.99 – 1.29 |
2007 | 1.17 * | 1.02 – 1.34 | 1.15 * | 1.01 – 1.32 | 1.15 * | 1.01 – 1.32 | 1.14 | 0.99 – 1.31 |
2008 | 1.53 *** | 1.34 – 1.75 | 1.50 *** | 1.31 – 1.73 | 1.50 *** | 1.31 – 1.72 | 1.47 *** | 1.28 – 1.70 |
2009 | 1.69 *** | 1.46 – 1.95 | 1.60 *** | 1.38 – 1.86 | 1.59 *** | 1.37 – 1.84 | 1.58 *** | 1.31 – 1.91 |
% Industry Black | 1.00 *** | 1.00 – 1.00 | 1.00 *** | 1.00 – 1.00 | 1.00 *** | 1.00 – 1.00 | ||
Mean industry income | 3.41 *** | 2.23 – 5.22 | 3.88 *** | 2.48 – 6.08 | 3.73 *** | 2.37 – 5.87 | ||
% County Black | 1.00 | 1.00 – 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 – 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 – 1.00 | ||
% County poor | 1.01 * | 1.00 – 1.02 | 1.01 ** | 1.00 – 1.02 | 1.01 * | 1.00 – 1.02 | ||
County crime rate | 1.00 | 1.00 – 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 – 1.00 | ||||
State incarceration rate | 0.66 ** | 0.49 – 0.89 | 0.70 * | 0.51 – 0.96 | ||||
Party control of state legislature | ||||||||
Republican | 0.92 * | 0.86 – 0.99 | ||||||
Split | 0.94 | 0.87 – 1.02 | ||||||
Unemployment rate | 1.00 | 0.97 – 1.02 | ||||||
Observations | 18315 | 18112 | 18112 | 18112 |
p<0.05
p<0.01
p<0.001