Table 6.

Logistic models regressing results of vote to unionize (win/loss) on jail average daily population rates (odds ratio for a unit increase in rate)

	Model 1		Model 2		Model 3		Model 4
	OR	95% CI	OR	95% CI	OR	95% CI	OR	95% CI
(Intercept)	0.97	0.89 – 1.06	1.12	0.95 – 1.32	1.27 *	1.04 – 1.53	1.35 **	1.10 – 1.66
Lagged ADP rate	1.01	0.99 – 1.02	0.97 *	0.95 – 0.99	0.97 *	0.95 – 0.99	0.97 *	0.95 – 0.99
Year
2001	0.99	0.88 – 1.11	1	0.89 – 1.12	0.99	0.89 – 1.12	1	0.89 – 1.12
2002	1.04	0.92 – 1.16	1.03	0.92 – 1.15	1.03	0.92 – 1.15	1.03	0.92 – 1.17
2003	1.15 *	1.02 – 1.30	1.13 *	1.00 – 1.28	1.13 *	1.00 – 1.27	1.14	1.00 – 1.29
2004	1.15 *	1.02 – 1.29	1.12	0.99 – 1.26	1.11	0.99 – 1.25	1.11	0.98 – 1.26
2005	1.24 ***	1.10 – 1.40	1.22 **	1.08 – 1.37	1.21 **	1.07 – 1.36	1.20 **	1.07 – 1.36
2006	1.16 *	1.02 – 1.32	1.14	1.00 – 1.30	1.14	1.00 – 1.30	1.13	0.99 – 1.29
2007	1.17 *	1.02 – 1.34	1.15 *	1.01 – 1.32	1.15 *	1.01 – 1.32	1.14	0.99 – 1.31
2008	1.53 ***	1.34 – 1.75	1.50 ***	1.31 – 1.73	1.50 ***	1.31 – 1.72	1.47 ***	1.28 – 1.70
2009	1.69 ***	1.46 – 1.95	1.60 ***	1.38 – 1.86	1.59 ***	1.37 – 1.84	1.58 ***	1.31 – 1.91
% Industry Black			1.00 ***	1.00 – 1.00	1.00 ***	1.00 – 1.00	1.00 ***	1.00 – 1.00
Mean industry income			3.41 ***	2.23 – 5.22	3.88 ***	2.48 – 6.08	3.73 ***	2.37 – 5.87
% County Black			1.00	1.00 – 1.00	1.00	1.00 – 1.00	1.00	1.00 – 1.00
% County poor			1.01 *	1.00 – 1.02	1.01 **	1.00 – 1.02	1.01 *	1.00 – 1.02
County crime rate					1.00	1.00 – 1.00	1.00	1.00 – 1.00
State incarceration rate					0.66 **	0.49 – 0.89	0.70 *	0.51 – 0.96
Party control of state legislature
Republican							0.92 *	0.86 – 0.99
Split							0.94	0.87 – 1.02
Unemployment rate							1.00	0.97 – 1.02
Observations	18315		18112		18112		18112

^*p<0.05

^**p<0.01

^***p<0.001