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. 2022 Jul 8;32(9):3013–3022. doi: 10.1007/s11695-022-06188-5

Table 2.

Potential future stream of demand for revision from primary procedures

Uptake level 2022–2023 2023–2024 2024–2025 2025–2026 2026–2027 2027–2028 2028–2029 2029–2030
Scenario 1: newly eligible patients only
20% 637 655 674 693 713 733 754 776
35% 1,114 1,146 1,179 1,213 1,247 1,283 1,320 1,358
75% 2,388 2,456 2,526 2,599 2,673 2,750 2,829 2,910
Scenario 2: existing patients only — assumes a 5-year program to treat all existing (20192020) eligible patients
20% 4,448 4,448 4,448 4,448 4,448 - - -
35% 7,785 7,785 7,785 7,785 7,785 - - -
75% 16,681 16,681 16,681 16,681 16,681 - - -
Scenario 3: treating new eligible patients and a 5-year program to treat existing eligible patients (as of 20192020)
20% 5,085 5,103 5,122 5,141 5,161 733 754 776
35% 8,899 8,931 8,964 8,997 9,032 1,283 1,320 1,358
75% 19,069 19,138 19,208 19,280 19,354 2,750 2,829 2,910

“-” not applicable