Table 3:

Regression Results for First-Wave COVID-19 Deaths and Cases per Million,All Countries and Non-OECD Countries

Variable Group and Name	All Countries		Non-OECD
	Deaths	Cases	Deaths	Cases
Inequality and poverty
Gini	5.22*	205.95***	4.10	161.43**
Pov	0.26	7.50	0.43	26.00Ϯ
Demography
Age	14.58**	84.94	12.73	99.40
Urban	2.80***	26.46	1.35	34.18
Health
BCG	−144.07Ϯ	766.52	112.79Ϯ	4,019.68**
Beds	−26.34**	−115.12	−10.12	238.10
Obesity	4.00***	128.81***	5.68***	161.83***
Geography
Density	0.05	1.63Ϯ	0.05Ϯ	2.44***
FromEq	1.04	57.21*	−0.36	23.52
Island	−29.83	−1,789.14**	−34.65Ϯ	−1,058.61*
Season of COVID-19 start
Spring	69.58**	1,772.48**	59.30*	2,352.49**
Summer	47.61	2,377.71*	61.48	1,669.39
Fall	15.48	−524.42	9.55	−418.59
Economy
GDPpc	−2.74	−14.39	−0.64	35.41
Tourism	1.47	−722.41	−79.46**	−1,900.73*
Government
Democracy	11.42**	439.36***	13.32**	651.99***
Constant	−320.18*	−14,330.50	−497.37**	−18,449***
N	127	127	92	92
R 2	0.709	0.703	0.641	0.724

Notes: Robust standard errors are in Appendix Table A.1; see Table 1 for variable definitions. COVID-19 = coronavirus disease 2019; OECD = Organization for Economic Co-Operation and Development; BCG = bacillus Calmette-Guerin.

^Ϯp < 0.15;

^*p < 0.10;

^**p < 0.05;

^***p < 0.01.

Source:Author’s calculations.