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. 2022 Aug 23;229:106330. doi: 10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2022.106330

Table 8.

Parameter estimates results for GARCH-MIDAS model based on the added infection number.

ln(Infection) Freight Brent Idle Congestion ln(Port calls)
μ 2246.71** 3031.17* 2244.95* 2240.12* 2350.71* 2240.10*
(4.71) (13.68) (6.62) (1.14) (9.69) (1.15)
α 0.84*** 0.76* 0.75* 0.96* 0.97* 0.36*
(0.06) (0.06) (0.05) (0.04) (0.03) (0.04)
β 0.15*** 0.24* 0.25* 0.04* 0.00 0.64*
(0.06) (0.06) (0.04) (0.02) (0.03) (0.04)
m −81.35** 0.74 −2.41* −24.03* −161.40 −414.32*
(33.65) (1.74) (1.04) (10.62) (174.96) (110.32)
θ 6.19* −0.00 0.02 5.15* 1.38 0.31*
(2.63) (0.00) (0.02) (2.44) (1.39) (0.08)
w2 4.07*** 64.84 1.00 3.75* 1.58* 1.24*
(0.80) (140.51) (2.11) (0.58) (0.83) (0.16)
LLF −1838.04 −1805.01 −1839.21 −1836.37 −1846.80 −1819.96
AIC 7.05 6.93 7.06 7.05 7.09 6.98
BIC 7.10 6.97 7.11 7.09 7.13 7.03

Note: * means rejections of null hypothesis at the 10% significance level, ** indicates rejections of null hypothesis at the 5% significance level, *** means rejections of null hypothesis at the 1% significance level.