Table 6:
OLS Estimates of Year-over-Year Export and Import Growth: NAICS Code 11, Agriculture
| Variable | Year-over-Year Expert Growth |
Year-over-Year Import Growth |
||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (7) | (8) | |
| Cases | ||||||||
| Province | 5.18e-05 (4.63e-05) | −0.000123 (0.000103) | ||||||
| State | 4.23e-06 (9.07e-06) | 6.50e-06 (1.98e-05) | ||||||
| Deaths | ||||||||
| Province | 0.000843* (0.000500) | −0.000912 (0.00104) | ||||||
| State | −0.000143 (0.000201) | −0.000860* (0.000510) | ||||||
| Hospitalizations | ||||||||
| Province | 0.00124 (0.000768) | −0.00203 (0.00168) | ||||||
| State | −0.000126 (0.000217) | −0.000503 (0.000540) | ||||||
| Lockdown | ||||||||
| Province | −0.00187 (0.00370) | −0.00649 (0.00874) | ||||||
| State | 0.00176 (0.00324) | 0.00101 (0.00727) | ||||||
| Constant | 0.00544 (0.0230) | 0.0275** (0.0124) | 0.0249 (0.0160) | 0.0367 (0.0493) | −0.0645 (0.0532) | −0.0277 (0.0282) | −0.0273 (0.0388) | 0.180 (0.114) |
| No. of observations | 3,019 | 3,019 | 3,019 | 3,019 | 3,019 | 3,019 | 3,019 | 3,019 |
| Adjusted R2 | 0.183 | 0.184 | 0.184 | 0.183 | 0.256 | 0.257 | 0.257 | 0.259 |
Notes: Values are estimates of versions of Equation (2) for export and import flows between Canadian provinces and US states between January 2020 and September 2020 for all non-zero observations. Cases, deaths, and hospitalizations are per-million population. Includes province–state–industry fixed effects. Robust standard errors clustered by province–state are in parentheses. NAICS = North American Industry Classification System; OLS = ordinary least squares.
*
p = 0.10;
**
p = 0.05;
***
p = 0.01.
Source: Authors’ calculations.