Table 7:
OLS Estimates of Year-over-Year Export and Import Growth: NAICS Code 21, Mining, Oil, and Gas
| Variable | Year-over-Year Expert Growth |
Year-over-Year Import Growth |
||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (7) | (8) | |
| Cases | ||||||||
| Province | −9.14e-05* (4.79e-05) | −2.13e-05 (0.000139) | ||||||
| State | −3.18e-05** (1.37e-05) | −2.60e-05 (2.35e-05) | ||||||
| Deaths | ||||||||
| Province | −0.000570 (0.000548) | −0.000608 (0.00131) | ||||||
| State | −0.000886*** (0.000341) | −0.000597 (0.000839) | ||||||
| Hospitalizations | ||||||||
| Province | −0.00112 (0.000967) | −0.00163 (0.00210) | ||||||
| State | −0.00101*** (0.000388) | −0.000419 (0.000733) | ||||||
| Lockdown | ||||||||
| Province | −0.00751 (0.00548) | −0.0136 (0.0118) | ||||||
| State | 0.00228 (0.00480) | 0.0102 (0.0106) | ||||||
| Constant | 0.0999*** (0.0373) | 0.0578*** (0.0207) | 0.0870*** (0.0310) | 0.252*** (0.0756) | 0.0635 (0.0662) | 0.0412 (0.0455) | 0.0515 (0.0530) | 0.167 (0.149) |
| No. of observations | 2,278 | 2,278 | 2,278 | 2,278 | 1,918 | 1,918 | 1,918 | 1,918 |
| Adjusted R2 | 0.186 | 0.185 | 0.187 | 0.188 | 0.168 | 0.168 | 0.168 | 0.168 |
Notes: Values are estimates of versions of Equation (2) for export and import flows between Canadian provinces and US states between January 2020 and September 2020 for all non-zero observations. Cases, deaths, and hospitalizations are per-million population. Includes province–state–industry fixed effects. Robust standard errors clustered by province–state are in parentheses. NAICS = North American Industry Classification System.
*
p = 0.10;
**
p = 0.05;
***
p = 0.01.
Source: Authors’ calculations.