Table 3.
(a) Random Forest Model Results | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dept. | RMSE | MAE | MAPE | ±10% * | ±10 min | ±5 min * | <10 min ** | <5 min ** | Sample_Count | |
(min) | (min) | (%) | (%) | (%) | (%) | (%) | (%) | |||
16 | 26.58 | 14.51 | 30 | 0.72 | 24 | 59 | 33 | 77 | 60 | 21,968 |
29 | 11.74 | 6.81 | 29 | 0.87 | 27 | 80 | 60 | 91 | 77 | 20,476 |
14 | 38.00 | 21.63 | 31 | 0.64 | 24 | 44 | 24 | 67 | 55 | 14,763 |
17 | 42.51 | 26.80 | 24 | 0.66 | 28 | 34 | 18 | 63 | 53 | 13,566 |
22 | 38.42 | 24.84 | 26 | 0.48 | 29 | 34 | 19 | 62 | 52 | 13,338 |
24 | 20.43 | 13.72 | 19 | 0.79 | 34 | 52 | 28 | 73 | 58 | 12,410 |
11 | 32.33 | 18.81 | 30 | 0.85 | 27 | 48 | 28 | 68 | 55 | 9874 |
28 | 47.86 | 25.88 | 31 | 0.68 | 26 | 40 | 22 | 66 | 56 | 7670 |
13 | 74.73 | 49.76 | 24 | 0.47 | 33 | 17 | 09 | 52 | 48 | 4017 |
15 | 35.63 | 15.11 | 21 | −0.26 | 32 | 54 | 28 | 76 | 61 | 1965 |
12 | 62.21 | 43.15 | 28 | 0.67 | 24 | 22 | 10 | 53 | 45 | 1800 |
Average (weighted) |
31.98 | 19.15 | 27 | 0.69 | 27 | 50 | 30 | 72 | 59 | 121,847 |
(b) XGB Model Results | ||||||||||
Dept. | RMSE | MAE | MAPE | ±10% * | ±10 min | ±5 min * | <10 min ** | <5 min ** | Sample_Count | |
(min) | (min) | (%) | (%) | (%) | (%) | (%) | (%) | |||
16 | 29.94 | 14.65 | 30 | 0.66 | 23 | 60 | 35 | 79 | 62 | 21,968 |
29 | 13.20 | 7.42 | 32 | 0.85 | 27 | 78 | 56 | 90 | 76 | 20,476 |
14 | 32.30 | 19.98 | 30 | 0.68 | 23 | 43 | 23 | 68 | 56 | 14,763 |
17 | 39.77 | 24.55 | 24 | 0.70 | 30 | 37 | 19 | 64 | 54 | 13,566 |
22 | 35.32 | 23.70 | 25 | 0.62 | 30 | 33 | 18 | 62 | 54 | 13,338 |
24 | 22.34 | 14.01 | 19 | 0.76 | 36 | 54 | 28 | 74 | 58 | 12,410 |
11 | 33.48 | 19.10 | 28 | 0.87 | 25 | 46 | 25 | 71 | 58 | 9874 |
28 | 51.31 | 28.14 | 33 | 0.71 | 22 | 36 | 18 | 64 | 54 | 7670 |
13 | 65.05 | 45.95 | 23 | 0.64 | 30 | 21 | 12 | 55 | 51 | 4017 |
15 | 35.50 | 15.55 | 22 | −0.24 | 30 | 52 | 24 | 73 | 59 | 1965 |
12 | 56.67 | 38.27 | 26 | 0.73 | 31 | 25 | 09 | 56 | 47 | 1800 |
Average (weighted) |
31.60 | 18.71 | 28 | 0.71 | 27 | 50 | 30 | 73 | 60 | 121,847 |
* proportion of samples within the ± variation; ** proportion of predicted samples within acceptable overtime in minutes.