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. 2022 Aug 24;12(8):e062065. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2022-062065

Table 2.

Models including the coefficient per predictor per surgical outcome

Variable Surgical site infection Venous thromboembolism Postoperative bleeding Luxation Delirium Nerve damage
Coefficient* OR (95% CI) Coefficient* OR (95% CI) Coefficient* OR (95% CI) Coefficient* OR (95% CI) Coefficient* OR (95% CI) Coefficient* OR (95% CI)
Intercept −7.272 −4.790 −7.172 −5.864 −14.307 −2.250
Age (years) 0.031 1.032
(1.005 to 1.059)
−0.008 0.991
(0.966 to 1.018)
0.033 1.034
(1.006 to 1.062)
0.013 1.014
(0.991 to 1.038)
0.127 1.137
(1.067 to 1.212)
−0.051 0.949
(0.926 to 0.974)
Gender (male/female) −0.168 0.844 (0.377 to 1.888) −0.254 0.772
(0.319 to 1.868)
BMI (kg/m2) −0.002 0.998
(0.937 to 1.063)
0.012 1.012 (0.954 to 1.073) 0.021 1.023
(0.951 to 1.099)
Obesity (yes/no) 1.376 4.040
(1.462 to 11.159)
Smoking status (yes/no) 0.757 2.145
(0.883 to 5.213)
−0.023 0.952 (0.336 to 2.701) 0.491 1.667
(0.651 to 4.268)
0.572 1.754
(0.510 to 6.029)
Lung disease (yes/no)
Immunological disorder (yes/no) 0.891 2.474
(1.186 to 5.158)
Rheumatoid arthritis (yes/no) 0.538 1.752
(0.408 to 7.530)
Diabetes mellitus (yes/no) 0.904 2.494
(1.125 to 5.529)
0.829 2.317
(0.870 to 6.173)
Liver disease (yes/no) 2.345 10.659
(2.441 to 46.555)
Heart disease (yes/no) 0.729 2.086
(1.040 to 4.183)
0.348 1.422
(0.590 to 3.428)
Disease of central nervous system (yes/no) 0.106 1.113
(0.324 to 3.822)
0.898 2.465
(0.936 to 6.490)
Thromboembolic event (yes/no) 1.501 4.586
(1.521 to 13.826)
Dysplasia (yes/no) −0.009 0.993
(0.217 to 4.552)
Vitamin K antagonist use (yes/no) 0.787 2.220 (1.022 to 4.821)
NSAIDs (yes/no) 0.619 1.877
(0.946 to 3.725)

To calculate the absolute risk for the surgical complications: P(surgical complication)=1/(1 + exp – linear part) × 100%. Linear part=intercept + (coefficients × variables).

*Adjustment for overfitting by shrinkage factor; the intercept was re-estimated.

BMI, body mass index; NSAIDs, non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs.