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. 2022 Aug 17;7(8):190. doi: 10.3390/tropicalmed7080190

Table A6.

New infection population under different measures.

Years 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Measures
Baseline parameter (95% CI) 3194 3499 3831 4207 4619
(2829, 3560) (3031, 3970) (3257, 4434) (3511, 4955) (3780, 5541)
(1) The treatment rate is increased by 10% (95% CI) 3150 3432 3752 4102 4497
(2787, 3510) (2981, 3884) (3193, 4325) (3424, 4820) (3670, 5378)
(2) The treatment rate is increased by 20% (95% CI) 3007 3258 3554 3875 4234
(2678, 3360) (2855, 3714) (3049, 4122) (3269, 4585) (3502, 5110)
(3) The withdrawal rate is reduced by 10% (95% CI) 3128 3416 3738 4094 4495
(2787, 3500) (2982, 3893) (3201, 4346) (3450, 4861) (3708, 5437)
(4) The withdrawal rate is reduced by 20% (95% CI) 3069 3336 3656 4002 4392
(2740, 3448) (2983, 3937) (3143, 4279) (3381, 4781) (3628, 5344)
(5) The number of sexual partners is reduced by 10% (95% CI) 2781 2991 3223 3474 3755
(2474, 3113) (2613, 3406) (2768, 3740) (2940, 4106) (3123, 4502)
(6) The number of sexual partners is reduced by 20% (95% CI) 2326 2456 2602 2757 2925
(2062, 2601) (2142, 2788) (2232, 2999) (2332, 3228) (2435, 3477)
(1)(3)(5) combination (95% CI) 2780 2927 3153 3401 3677
(2502, 3145) (2608, 3424) (2766, 2744) (2931, 4094) (3104, 4494)
(2)(4)(6) combination (95% CI) 2309 2416 2540 2680 2831
(2056, 2583) (2119, 2743) (2200, 2929) (2291, 3138) (2384, 3373)