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. 2022 Aug 27;12:14643. doi: 10.1038/s41598-022-18516-x

Table 2.

Average forecasting performance (accuracy) of the smart persistence model and the stacked LSTM models with and without TL.

PV Metric Without TL Smart Persistence TL Strategy 1 TL Strategy 2 TL Strategy 3
PV2 RMSE (KWh) 3.77 3.27 2.34 2.37 2.36
MBE (KWh) - 0.25 0.17 0.16 0.06 0.05
MAE (KWh) 1.81 1.38 1.11 1.11 1.12
nRMSE (%) 53.14 46.18 33.06 33.38 33.28
R2 (%) 87.74 91.37 95.57 95.49 95.51
PV3 RMSE 11.39 17.32 10.59 11.35 11.48
MBE 0.83 0.02 0.79 0.81 0.80
MAE 6.01 6.49 5.29 5.94 5.85
nRMSE 40.78 62.15 37.94 40.63 41.13
R2 93.60 85.27 94.49 93.68 93.53
PV4 RMSE 1.65 2.69 1.48 1.46 1.46
MBE - 0.01 - 0.82 0.11 0.06 0.07
MAE 0.81 1.32 0.70 0.69 0.70
nRMSE 35.57 57.84 31.94 31.42 31.51
R2 94.46 85.40 95.55 95.70 95.68
PV5 RMSE 2.66 5.27 2.31 2.31 2.31
MBE - 0.08 0.35 - 0.04 - 0.11 - 0.16
MAE 1.37 1.52 1.13 1.15 1.15
nRMSE 31.68 62.75 27.56 27.46 27.54
R2 95.17 81.51 96.43 96.46 96.44
PV6 RMSE 6.75 8.59 5.65 5.50 5.51
MBE 1.35 - 0.04 0.94 0.43 0.56
MAE 3.54 4.25 2.74 2.79 2.77
nRMSE 40.92 52.11 34.23 33.37 33.40
R2 92.72 88.58 95.07 95.33 95.31
PV7 RMSE 3.64 4.59 2.47 2.40 2.41
MBE - 0.16 0.15 0.24 - 0.02 0.03
MAE 1.75 1.64 1.15 1.11 1.12
nRMSE 40.87 51.49 27.78 26.97 27.08
R2 92.23 88.19 96.56 96.76 96.74

RMSE, MBE and MAE are measured in KWh, while for R2 and nRMSE the percentage is given for each model