Table 2.
Average forecasting performance (accuracy) of the smart persistence model and the stacked LSTM models with and without TL.
| PV | Metric | Without TL | Smart Persistence | TL Strategy 1 | TL Strategy 2 | TL Strategy 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RMSE (KWh) | 3.77 | 3.27 | 2.34 | 2.37 | 2.36 | |
| MBE (KWh) | 0.25 | 0.17 | 0.16 | 0.06 | 0.05 | |
| MAE (KWh) | 1.81 | 1.38 | 1.11 | 1.11 | 1.12 | |
| nRMSE (%) | 53.14 | 46.18 | 33.06 | 33.38 | 33.28 | |
| (%) | 87.74 | 91.37 | 95.57 | 95.49 | 95.51 | |
| RMSE | 11.39 | 17.32 | 10.59 | 11.35 | 11.48 | |
| MBE | 0.83 | 0.02 | 0.79 | 0.81 | 0.80 | |
| MAE | 6.01 | 6.49 | 5.29 | 5.94 | 5.85 | |
| nRMSE | 40.78 | 62.15 | 37.94 | 40.63 | 41.13 | |
| 93.60 | 85.27 | 94.49 | 93.68 | 93.53 | ||
| RMSE | 1.65 | 2.69 | 1.48 | 1.46 | 1.46 | |
| MBE | 0.01 | 0.82 | 0.11 | 0.06 | 0.07 | |
| MAE | 0.81 | 1.32 | 0.70 | 0.69 | 0.70 | |
| nRMSE | 35.57 | 57.84 | 31.94 | 31.42 | 31.51 | |
| 94.46 | 85.40 | 95.55 | 95.70 | 95.68 | ||
| RMSE | 2.66 | 5.27 | 2.31 | 2.31 | 2.31 | |
| MBE | 0.08 | 0.35 | 0.04 | 0.11 | 0.16 | |
| MAE | 1.37 | 1.52 | 1.13 | 1.15 | 1.15 | |
| nRMSE | 31.68 | 62.75 | 27.56 | 27.46 | 27.54 | |
| 95.17 | 81.51 | 96.43 | 96.46 | 96.44 | ||
| RMSE | 6.75 | 8.59 | 5.65 | 5.50 | 5.51 | |
| MBE | 1.35 | 0.04 | 0.94 | 0.43 | 0.56 | |
| MAE | 3.54 | 4.25 | 2.74 | 2.79 | 2.77 | |
| nRMSE | 40.92 | 52.11 | 34.23 | 33.37 | 33.40 | |
| 92.72 | 88.58 | 95.07 | 95.33 | 95.31 | ||
| RMSE | 3.64 | 4.59 | 2.47 | 2.40 | 2.41 | |
| MBE | 0.16 | 0.15 | 0.24 | 0.02 | 0.03 | |
| MAE | 1.75 | 1.64 | 1.15 | 1.11 | 1.12 | |
| nRMSE | 40.87 | 51.49 | 27.78 | 26.97 | 27.08 | |
| 92.23 | 88.19 | 96.56 | 96.76 | 96.74 |
RMSE, MBE and MAE are measured in KWh, while for and nRMSE the percentage is given for each model