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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2023 Sep 1.
Published in final edited form as: Am J Obstet Gynecol. 2022 Apr 20;227(3):440–461.e2. doi: 10.1016/j.ajog.2022.04.023

TABLE 3.

Subgroup analyses of effect of vaginal progesterone on preterm birth <37 and 34 weeks of gestation

Preterm birth <37 weeks of gestation
Preterm birth <34 weeks of gestation
Subgroup No. of trials Vaginal progesterone Placebo/no treatment Relative risk (95% CI) I2, % Interaction P value No. of trials Vaginal progesterone Placebo/no treatment Relative risk (95% CI) I2, % Interaction P value
Study sample size, n <0.00001 0.0001
 <150 772,7478,81 59/342 (17.3%) 136/336 (40.5%) 0.43 (0.33–0.55) 0 6160,161,162,163 13/297 (4.4%) 52/291 (17.9%) 0.27 (0.15–0.49) 0
 ≥150 373,79,80 421/1156 (36.4%) 423/1142 (37.0%) 0.98 (0.88–1.09) 0 3162–164 183/1156 (15.8%) 192/1142 (16.8%) 0.94 (0.78–1.13) 0
Study setting <0.00001 0.0003
 Low/middle-income countries 772,7478,81 59/342 (17.3%) 136/336 (40.5%) 0.43 (0.33–0.55) 0 6162 13/297 (4.4%) 52/291 (17.9%) 0.27 (0.15–0.49) 0
 High-income countries 279,80 286/847 (33.8%) 291/840 (34.6%) 0.97 (0.85–1.11) 0 2162 134/847 (15.8%) 138/840 (16.4%) 0.96 (0.77–1.20) 0
 Both low/middle- and high-income countries 173 135/309 (43.7%) 132/302 (43.7%) 1.00 (0.83–1.20) NA 1162 49/309 (15.9%) 54/302 (17.9%) 0.89 (0.62–1.26) NA
Study center status <0.00001 0.0003
 Single center 772,7478,81 59/342 (17.3%) 136/336 (40.5%) 0.43 (0.33–0.55) 0 6160,161,162,163 13/297 (4.4%) 52/291 (17.9%) 0.27 (0.15–0.49) 0
 Multicenter 373,79,80 421/1156 (36.4%) 423/1142 (37.0%) 0.98 (0.88–1.09) 0 <0.0001 3162–164 183/1156 (15.8%) 192/1142 (16.8%) 0.94 (0.78–1.13) 0
Trial registration status 0.0001 0.0002
 Registered 573,7780 437/1225 (35.7%) 456/1207 (37.8%) 0.88 (0.72–1.07) 62 5162 188/1225 (15.3%) 203/1207 (16.8%) 0.90 (0.74–1.11) 15
 Not registered 572,7476,81 43/273 (15.8%) 103/271 (38.0%) 0.42 (0.31–0.57) 0 4162 8/228 (3.5%) 41/226 (18.1%) 0.21 (0.10–0.44) 0
Mean gestational age at treatment initiation, weeks 0.01 <0.0001
 <24 673,74,7881 447/1279 (35.0%) 485/1262 (38.4%) 0.76 (0.60–0.98) 75 5162 190/1234 (15.4%) 206/1217 (16.9%) 0.91 (0.76–1.09) 0
 ≥24 472,7577 33/219 (15.1%) 74/216 (34.3%) 0.44 (0.31–0.63) 0 4162 6/219 (2.7%) 38/216 (17.6%) 0.16 (0.07–0.36) 0
Daily dose of vaginal progesterone, mg 0.97 0.54
 90–100 772,7377,80 308/968 (31.8%) 363/953 (38.1%) 0.62 (0.45–0.85) 75 7162 121/968 (12.5%) 157/953 (16.5%) 0.51 (0.28–0.92) 72
 ≥200 378,79,81 172/530 (32.5%) 196/525 (37.3%) 0.61 (0.32–1.14) 84 2162 75/485 (15.5%) 87/480 (18.1%) 0.69 (0.32–1.47) 64

Data are n/N.

CI, confidence interval; NA, not applicable.