Table:

Change in mortality attributable to temperature based on the 2010 population for 208 cities in the USA

	Attributable mortality projected minus hindcast	66% CI
2°C increase
1973–82	12 396	5923 to 18 549
1983–92	4727	859 to 8407
1993–2002	1550	−1417 to 4377
2003–13	299	−2438 to 3056
3°C increase
1973–82	24 378	14 476 to 33 796
1983–92	9760	3545 to 15 574
1993–2002	4222	−350 to 8582
2003–13	1590	−3025 to 6172
4°C increase
1973–82	38 489	23 901 to 53 219
1983–92	16 143	7640 to 24 563
1993–2002	8289	1756 to 14 625
2003–13	3767	−2948 to 10 455
5°C increase
1973–82	56 210	34 908 to 77 166
1983–92	24 666	12 156 to 37 199
1993–2002	14 134	4190 to 23 771
2003–13	7000	−2639 to 16 718
6°C increase
1973–82	90 025	69 093 to 111 695
1983–92	41 982	26 922 to 56 822
1993–2002	26 700	15 419 to 38 086
2003–13	14 610	1307 to 28 028

Mortality estimates are based on exposure response function for each of the four historical time periods. The greatest reductions in expected mortality due to temperature increase appear to have occurred between the 1970s and 1980s. See appendix p 14 for a graphical representation of the projections in this table.