Table 2. Comparation of simulated results of the SEIAR model with the reported cases.
| Onset date |
First stage
(No intervention) |
Second stage
(No intervention) |
Report cases | |||||
| New cases |
Accumulated
cases |
New cases |
Accumulated
cases |
New cases |
Accumulated
cases |
|||
| Note: “–” means not applicable. Abbreviation: SEIAR=susceptible-exposed-infectious-asymptomatic-removed. | ||||||||
| March 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| March 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| March 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||
| March 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||
| March 10 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | ||
| March 11 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | ||
| March 12 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 2 | ||
| March 13 | 4 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 4 | 6 | ||
| March 14 | 7 | 19 | 4 | 16 | 1 | 7 | ||
| March 15 | 10 | 29 | 3 | 19 | 2 | 9 | ||
| March 16 | 15 | 44 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 9 | ||
| March 17 | 23 | 67 | 3 | 24 | 3 | 12 | ||
| March 18 | 34 | 101 | 2 | 27 | 0 | 12 | ||
| March 19 | 52 | 153 | 2 | 29 | 0 | 12 | ||
| March 20 | 78 | 231 | 2 | 31 | 0 | 12 | ||
| March 21 | 117 | 347 | 2 | 33 | 0 | 12 | ||
| March 22 | 176 | 523 | 2 | 35 | 0 | 12 | ||
| March 23 | 264 | 787 | 2 | 37 | 0 | 12 | ||
| March 24 | 397 | 1,184 | 2 | 39 | 0 | 12 | ||
| March 25 | 595 | 1,779 | 2 | 41 | 0 | 12 | ||
| March 26 | 891 | 2,670 | 2 | 43 | 0 | 12 | ||
| March 27 | 1,332 | 4,002 | 2 | 45 | 0 | 12 | ||
| March 28 | 1,982 | 5,984 | 2 | 46 | 0 | 12 | ||
| March 29 | 2,935 | 8,919 | 2 | 48 | 0 | 12 | ||
| March 30 | 4,309 | 13,228 | 2 | 50 | 0 | 12 | ||
| March 31 | 6,253 | 19,480 | 2 | 51 | 0 | 12 | ||
| April 1 | 8,917 | 28,397 | 2 | 53 | – | – | ||
| April 2 | 12,407 | 40,804 | 2 | 54 | – | – | ||
| April 3 | 16,685 | 57,488 | 1 | 56 | – | – | ||
| April 4 | 21,437 | 78,925 | 1 | 57 | – | – | ||
| April 5 | 25,986 | 104,911 | 1 | 58 | – | – | ||
| April 6 | 29,378 | 134,289 | 1 | 60 | – | – | ||
| April 7 | 30,734 | 165,023 | 1 | 61 | – | – | ||
| April 8 | 29,702 | 194,725 | 1 | 62 | – | – | ||
| April 9 | 26,658 | 221,383 | 1 | 64 | – | – | ||
| April 10 | 22,465 | 243,848 | 1 | 65 | – | – | ||
| April 11 | 18,018 | 261,866 | 1 | 66 | – | – | ||
| April 12 | 13,938 | 275,804 | 1 | 67 | – | – | ||
| April 13 | 10,515 | 286,319 | 0 | 0 | – | – | ||