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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2022 Sep 1.
Published in final edited form as: Spat Demogr. 2021 Aug 24;10(1):33–74. doi: 10.1007/s40980-021-00095-6

Table 5.

The contributions of county-level characteristics to the change in U.S. age-standardized all-cause mortality per 100,000 population between 1999–2001 and 2015–2017 by state, ages 25–64, large central metropolitan areas

State Total
change		 % College
grads		 % In
poverty		 % Aged
25–64		 %
Foreign-
born		 % In
manufacturing		 % Unemployed % Obese % Current
smokers		 % Single
parents		 State
trend		 Metro
trend		 National
trend		 Residual
trend
MD −205 −53 17 −17 −36 6 22 −3 −41 −44 31 0 −62 −26
LA −197 −44 −3 −18 −8 2 10 −2 −20 −56 −16 0 −45 4
GA −171 −22 5 1 −21 2 18 −1 −27 −14 −28 0 −31 −54
NJ −135 −18 7 −4 −51 4 11 −1 −22 1 −29 0 −28 −5
NY −126 −23 4 −3 −44 3 1 −1 −24 −17 0 0 −26 5
IL −104 −23 9 −5 −24 4 10 −2 −26 −4 −8 0 −31 −5
MA −98 −24 9 −7 −33 1 8 −1 −12 −8 3 0 −25 −8
CO −97 −23 5 −6 −13 1 4 −1 −12 −7 13 0 −27 −31
PA −93 −32 17 −10 −23 2 12 −2 −29 −9 19 0 −40 2
VA −88 −18 6 −4 −13 1 13 −2 −16 −5 −6 0 −27 −18
NC −73 −10 8 1 −13 2 12 −1 −18 6 −19 0 −21 −20
OR −73 −30 11 −6 −12 3 2 −1 −18 −3 8 0 −27 1
CA −73 −10 4 −1 −21 3 6 −1 −19 −6 −7 0 −23 2
NV −66 −15 14 3 −26 1 18 −1 −39 10 0 0 −32 2
CT −60 −16 6 0 −30 3 20 −2 −18 −4 −25 0 −27 33
TX −56 −3 7 0 −18 2 2 −2 −19 9 6 0 −26 −14
FL −56 −17 12 −1 −31 2 15 −2 −24 1 25 0 −34 −3
WA −56 −15 4 0 −24 2 3 −1 −18 −8 18 0 −20 4
MI −48 −21 31 −4 −18 7 24 −2 −25 −14 6 0 −42 9
TN −47 −23 17 −3 −20 2 18 −2 −10 −4 29 0 −39 −12
AZ −38 −8 13 1 −14 3 11 −2 −11 9 −10 0 −27 −4
MN −33 −16 8 −1 −26 2 3 −1 −9 −2 13 0 −23 19
RI −18 −17 10 −6 −27 7 13 −2 −29 7 42 0 −31 13
WI −14 −17 17 −6 −7 4 10 −2 −27 10 2 0 −34 37
OK −12 −20 9 −4 −13 4 10 −3 −5 1 51 0 −40 −2
UT −9 −13 5 −7 −10 0 1 −1 −14 −1 39 0 −26 18
IN −9 −11 31 −3 −13 4 20 −2 −25 19 26 0 −39 −15
AL −6 −28 18 −3 −5 2 18 −3 −26 11 22 0 −45 33
OH −1 −19 19 −4 −18 3 11 −2 −34 6 55 0 −37 17
MO 0 −21 22 −3 −7 3 18 −3 −20 3 29 0 −37 15
KY 22 −27 16 −2 −18 3 11 −3 −12 −8 81 0 −43 23

Note: As these are additive contributions from decomposing changes to each time-varying term in a non-linear model, the state, metro, and national contributions may vary across categories (see Appendix for more information on this additive decomposition)