Table 6.
Prediction result | Definition of the prediction result | Monitoring | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Follow-up actions | Costs components per batcha | Explanation of the follow-up actions | ||
True Positive | Non-compliant batch predicted to be non-compliant | Sampling & Analysis | Ccoll + Canaly + Cstor | Sampling & Analysis and holding, followed by rejection of the non-compliant feed batch to feed material traders |
Storage | ||||
False Positive | Compliant batch predicted to be non-compliant | Sampling & Analysis | Ccoll + Canaly + Cstor | Sampling & Analysis and holding, followed by acceptance of the compliant batch |
Storage | ||||
True Negative | Compliant batch predicted to be compliant | Accept | 0 | Accept compliant batch |
False Negative | Non-compliant batch predicted to be compliant |
Accept, Recall, Destroy, Replace, Estimate disease burden |
Precall * (Crecall+ Cdestr+ Cprice)*10+(1 − Precall)* Cburden |
1. Accept based on prediction, or 2. Recall and other actions due to non-compliant feed batch that is used to produce compound feed and found to be contaminated later |
aSee Table 7 for explanation of the cost component variables.