Table II.
Modeling Enhancement Strategies Summarized from the Five Selected Compartmental Model-Based Forecasts
| Categories | Model name on CDC webpage | Strategies |
|---|---|---|
| Model structure modification | SuEIR | Adding compartment for unreported infectious cases |
| SI_kJα | Incorporating multiple infectious sub-states and considering spreading due to inter-region mobility | |
| Parameter estimation enhancement | MechBayes | Estimating parameters using Bayesian inference |
| EpiCovDA | Estimating parameters using Incidence-Cumulative Cases (ICC) curve. | |
| SI_kJα | Estimating parameters using a linearized system | |
| OliverWyman-Navigator | Incorporating real-world datasets to predict the values of parameters used in forecast |