Table 2.
Results of the VAR model (segment A: January 04, 2010, to November 30, 2019).
| Coefficient | Std. Error | P-values | Coefficient | Std. Error | P-values | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean equation of GOLD (1) | Mean equation of S&P 500 (4) | ||||||
| ψ1,1 | −0.0663733 | 0.01527082 | 0.00 | Coefficient | Std. Error | P-Values | |
| ψ1,2 | 0.01390 | 0.00853102 | 0.10 | ψ4,1 | −0.005943 | 0.01375043 | 0.67 |
| ψ1,3 | −0.03240 | 0.01817647 | 0.07 | ψ4,2 | 0.01239701 | 0.00768165 | 0.11 |
| ψ1,4 | −0.01164 | 0.01872308 | 0.53 | ψ4,3 | 0.05689102 | 0.01636679 | 0.00 |
| ψ1,5 | 0.01089 | 0.00789565 | 0.17 | ψ4,4 | −0.0781875 | 0.01685897 | 0.00 |
| ψ1,6 | 0.03595 | 0.01929815 | 0.06 | ψ4,5 | −0.0038499 | 0.00710955 | 0.59 |
|
ψ1,0 |
0.00012 |
0.01615287 |
0.99 |
ψ4,6 |
−0.0543505 |
0.0173768 |
0.00 |
| Mean equation of Wheat (2) | ψ4,0 | 0.09434912 | 0.01454467 | 0.00 | |||
| Coefficient | Std. Error | P-Values | Mean equation of Beverages (5) | ||||
| ψ2,1 | 0.0089 | 0.03233804 | 0.78 | Coefficient | Std. Error | P-values | |
| ψ2,2 | −0.0144746 | 0.01806558 | 0.42 | ψ5,1 | 0.0799311 | 0.0364337 | 0.03 |
| ψ2,3 | −0.0571547 | 0.03849114 | 0.14 | ψ5,2 | −0.0405845 | 0.02035362 | 0.05 |
| ψ2,4 | 0.08921727 | 0.03964865 | 0.02 | ψ5,3 | 0.00560199 | 0.0433661 | 0.90 |
| ψ2,5 | 0.01618946 | 0.01672011 | 0.33 | ψ5,4 | 0.07789655 | 0.04467021 | 0.08 |
| ψ2,6 | −0.0029766 | 0.04086645 | 0.94 | ψ5,5 | 0.06411897 | 0.01883774 | 0.00 |
|
Ψ2,0 |
−0.0369324 |
0.0342059 |
0.28 |
ψ5,6 |
−0.0296621 |
0.04604225 |
0.52 |
| Mean equation of WTI (3) | Ψ5,0 | 0.00550858 | 0.03853813 | 0.89 | |||
| Coefficient | Std. Error | P-Values | Mean equation of Brent OIL (6) | ||||
| ψ3,1 | 0.00375597 | 0.0317581 | 0.91 | Coefficient | Std. Error | P-values | |
| ψ3,2 | 0.00468819 | 0.0177416 | 0.079 | ψ6,1 | −0.0108263 | 0.02945432 | 0.71 |
| ψ3,3 | 0.01760762 | 0.0378008 | 0.064 | ψ6,2 | 0.00370866 | 0.0164546 | 0.82 |
| ψ3,4 | 0.02076169 | 0.0389376 | 0.59 | ψ6,3 | 0.00593504 | 0.03505872 | 0.87 |
| ψ3,5 | −0.0110908 | 0.01642026 | 0.50 | ψ6,4 | 0.04890852 | 0.03611301 | 0.18 |
| ψ3,6 | −0.0628865 | 0.04013357 | 0.012 | ψ6,5 | −0.0011576 | 0.01522911 | 0.94 |
| Ψ3,0 | 0.04399024 | 0.03359246 | 0.19 | ψ6,6 | −0.0569309 | 0.03722222 | 0.13 |
| ψ6,0 | 0.06723677 | 0.03115561 | 0.03 | ||||
Notes: This table presents the estimated results from Eq. (2), where ψ is the returns transmission impact from asset i to j.