Table 2.
Correlations (Spearman's ρ) between normalized SARS-CoV-2 RNA signal (N1-N2 copies/copies PMMoV) and laboratory positive cases, hospital admissions, ICU admissions, and deaths in Ottawa and Hamilton, prior to significant natural and vaccination immunization.
| Under 70 % of the total population fully vaccinated, Apr. 8th, 2020–Aug. 29th (Ottawa)/Oct. 9th (Hamilton), 2021, wildtype and Alpha surges | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ottawa | 5-day midpoint avg. laboratory positive cases | 5-day midpoint avg. hospital admissions | 5-day midpoint avg. ICU admissions | 5-day midpoint avg. deaths | |
| Lead time (△t) | 5d | 10d | 10d | 19d | |
| Spearman's ρ | 0.821 | 0.808 | 0.708 | 0.730 | |
| Hamilton | 3-day midpoint avg. laboratory positive cases | 3-day midpoint avg. hospital admissions | 3-day midpoint avg. ICU admissions | 3-day midpoint avg. deaths | |
| Lead time (△t) | 10d | 14d | 14d | 20d | |
| Spearman's ρ | 0.655 | 0.682 | 0.352 | 0.574 | |