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. 2022 Sep 6;18(9):e1010463. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1010463

Table 1. Selected simulation model parameter values and sources.

Parameter (notation) Description Values or distribution Reference
β 1 Transmission probability per contact of senior females [0.006,0.02] Estimated from parameter fitting
Sβ1 Scale factor for β1, transmission probability relative to that of senior females (which means transmission probability per demo-group is β1×Sβ1) [0,1] Estimated from COVID sex and age disaggregated data of [26]
β 2 Proportion of infected agents that eventually show symptoms 0.45 [27]
TA→I
TA→R
Duration of asymptomatic period until symptoms start to show (if the next state is I), or until agents recover (if the next state is R) If the next state is I, lognormal(1.63,0.52);
If the next state is R, lognormal(2.23,0.22);
Cut off at 21 days.
[28],[29]
τA The day when an asymptomatic case become infectious If the next state is I, 2 days before turning into I, or day 1; If the next state is R, day 3. [30],[31],[29]
β 3 Proportion of symptomatic cases that result in death [0,0.1] [26]
TI Duration of symptomatic infection lognormal(2.04,0.42);
Cut off at 21 days.
[32]

Note: refer to the code and readme file on GitHub for a full list of parameters and their definitions and distributions.