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. 2022 Sep 7;8(9):e10547. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2022.e10547

Table 2.

Modelled scenarios of SARS-CoV-2 RNA loading in the Camel and Conwy estuaries during spring-summer 2020. Note: each scenario was run twice with different decay rates; T90 = 24 h and T90 =35 ​days (840 h).

Simulation Infection timeseries I(t) RNA load of Infected person with positive faeces (copies/day) 2 Log10 Treatment Number of effluent discharge locations (Camel, Conwy) Catchment Population (Camel; Conwy)
1 Best Estimate Loading ONS 1.36×106 Yes 3,2 59,579; 11,506
2 IMHE infections IMHE 1.36×106 Yes 3,2 59,579; 11,506
3 Worse Case Loading ONS 6.80×106 Yes 3,2 59,579; 11,506.
4 Best Estimate Untreated ONS 1.36×106 No 3,2 59,579; 11,506
5 Worse Case Untreated ONS 6.80×106 No 3,2 59,579; 11,506
6 Equal loadings Treated ONS 1.36×106 Yes 1,1 59,579; 59,579
7 Equal loadings Untreated ONS 1.36×106 No 1,1 59,579; 59,579