Table 3.

Comparison of the performances of the four different models^a.

STDs	Model	Modeling performance			Predicting performance
		MAE	RMSE	MAPE (%)	MAE	RMSE	MAPE (%)
AIDS	ARIMA	0.04/0.05	0.05/0.03	12.00/11.87	0.08/0.05	0.09/0.05	23.26/12.86
	ERNN	0.04/0.04	0.05/0.05	12.36/14.42	0.07/0.09	0.08/0.11	20.24//23.54
	ARIMA-ERNN	0.03/0.03	0.04/0.04	11.00/9.72	0.06/0.06	0.08/0.07	18.34/14.74
	LSTM	0.07/0.03	0.09/0.04	23.39/11.00	0.06/0.08	0.07/0.11	18.63/25.43
Gonorrhea	ARIMA	0.04/0.04	0.06/0.03	7.25/5.08	0.14/0.13	0.19/0.10	19.44/17.07
	ERNN	0.05/0.05	0.07/0.06	8.50/8.23	0.14/0.12	0.19/0.14	18.03/17.95
	ARIMA-ERNN	0.04/0.03	0.06/0.04	6.75/4.98	0.13/0.10	0.17/0.13	17.77/16.46
	LSTM	0.01/0.33	0.02/0.06	1.38/5.95	0.04/0.09	0.05/0.12	5.09/15.13
Syphilis	ARIMA	0.16/0.18	0.25/0.14	6.15/5.40	0.29/0.78	0.39/0.71	9.80/21.88
	ERNN	0.18/0.26	0.25/0.30	6.775/9.744	0.30/0.78	0.13/0.87	9.55/24.00
	ARIMA-ERNN	0.16/0.12	0.24/0.16	6.079/4.605	0.26/0.66	0.35/0.72	8.67/20.18
	LSTM	0.23/0.21	0.12/0.31	8.571/8.932	0.17/0.35	0.25/0.44	5.79/11.20

^aOne-year forecast performance/5-year forecast performance.