Table 4.

Predictive performance of different models.

Variable	AUC (95% CI)	p value	Sensitivity	Specificity
SIRS	0.623 (0.552–0.694)	.0012	0.807	0.360
BISAP	0.556 (0.483–0.630)	.1371	0.248	0.840
MMF	0.699 (0.632–0.767)	<.0001	0.817	0.742
SOFA	0.702 (0.639–0.760)	<.0001	0.642	0.680
Nomogram	0.814 (0.758–0.861)	<.0001	0.817	0.688

AUC, area under the curve; BISAP, bedside index of severity in acute pancreatitis; MMF, modified Marshall scoring system; SIRS, systemic inflammatory response syndrome score; SOFA, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score.

A p value < .05 was considered statistically significant.