Table 3.
Middle-Bound Scenario (MB) | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mycotoxins (µg/kg bw/day) | Cases N = 911 | Hazard Ratio | 95% Confidence Interval | ProbChiSq (P) |
TrendTest | Mycotoxins (µg/kg bw/day) | Cases N = 911 | Hazard Ratio | 95% Confidence Interval | ProbChiSq (P) | TrendTest |
15-Acetyl-deoxynivalenol | 911 | 0.94 | 0.81–1.10 | 0.4309 | 3-Acetyl-deoxynivalenol | 911 | 0.94 | 0.81–1.09 | 0.4031 | ||
T1 | 334 | 1 | Ref. | T1 | 326 | 1 | Ref. | ||||
T2 | 308 | 1.05 | 0.86–1.29 | 0.6254 | 0.6169 | T2 | 314 | 1.06 | 0.86–1.29 | 0.6000 | 0.5004 |
T3 | 269 | 1.06 | 0.84–1.35 | 0.6147 | T3 | 271 | 1.09 | 0.85–1.38 | 0.4974 | ||
Aflatoxin B1 | 911 | 0.96 | 0.82–1.14 | 0.6590 | Aflatoxin B2 | 911 | 0.97 | 0.83–1.12 | 0.6484 | ||
T1 | 404 | 1 | Ref. | . | T1 | 391 | 1 | Ref. | |||
T2 | 278 | 0.88 | 0.72–1.07 | 0.1949 | 0.1473 | T2 | 298 | 0.97 | 0.80–1.17 | 0.7336 | 0.1735 |
T3 | 229 | 0.84 | 0.65–1.07 | 0.1615 | T3 | 222 | 0.84 | 0.65–1.07 | 0.1579 | ||
Aflatoxin G1 | 911 | 0.97 | 0.83–1.13 | 0.6962 | Aflatoxin G2 | 911 | 0.95 | 0.82–1.11 | 0.5270 | ||
T1 | 395 | 1 | Ref. | T1 | 394 | 1 | Ref. | ||||
T2 | 295 | 0.96 | 0.79–1.16 | 0.6727 | 0.1979 | T2 | 301 | 0.96 | 0.79–1.16 | 0.6841 | 0.1370 |
T3 | 221 | 0.85 | 0.66–1.08 | 0.1849 | T3 | 216 | 0.82 | 0.64–1.05 | 0.1207 | ||
Aflatoxin M1 | 911 | 0.98 | 0.93–1.03 | 0.4426 | Aflatoxin (sum of B1. B2. G1. G2) | 911 | 1.08 | 0.94–1.24 | 0.2913 | ||
T1 | 351 | 1 | Ref. | T1 | 378 | 1 | Ref. | ||||
T2 | 311 | 1.02 | 0.84–1.23 | 0.8588 | 0.5349 | T2 | 284 | 1.01 | 0.83–1.23 | 0.9086 | 0.2293 |
T3 | 249 | 0.93 | 0.74–1.16 | 0.5034 | T3 | 249 | 1.16 | 0.91–1.48 | 0.2176 | ||
Altenuene | 911 | 1.06 | 0.92–1.22 | 0.4326 | Alternaria alternata F. sp. lycopersici toxins | 911 | 0.98 | 0.88–1.08 | 0.6385 | ||
T1 | 320 | 1 | Ref. | T1 | 320 | 1 | Ref. | ||||
T2 | 318 | 1.06 | 0.87–1.31 | 0.5514 | 0.7268 | T2 | 318 | 1.01 | 0.82–1.23 | 0.9440 | 0.8915 |
T3 | 273 | 0.96 | 0.75–1.24 | 0.7591 | T3 | 273 | 0.98 | 0.77–1.25 | 0.8919 | ||
Altertoxin I | 911 | 1.00 | 0.90–1.13 | 0.9427 | Alternariol monomethyl ether | 911 | 1.01 | 0.94–1.09 | 0.8195 | ||
T1 | 314 | 1 | Ref. | T1 | 306 | 1 | Ref. | ||||
T2 | 305 | 1.01 | 0.82–1.24 | 0.9257 | 0.6751 | T2 | 309 | 1.12 | 0.91–1.37 | 0.2909 | 0.4432 |
T3 | 292 | 0.95 | 0.76–1.21 | 0.6984 | T3 | 296 | 1.10 | 0.86–1.42 | 0.4417 | ||
Alternariol | 911 | 1.03 | 0.91–1.17 | 0.6629 | Deoxynivalenol-3-glucoside | 911 | 1.01 | 0.97–1.05 | 0.6683 | ||
T1 | 312 | 1 | Ref. | T1 | 344 | 1 | Ref. | ||||
T2 | 311 | 1.00 | 0.81–1.24 | 0.9919 | 0.9257 | T2 | 298 | 1.06 | 0.89–1.28 | 0.5060 | 0.5181 |
T3 | 288 | 1.01 | 0.78–1.32 | 0.9269 | T3 | 269 | 1.07 | 0.85–1.34 | 0.5836 | ||
Deoxynivalenol | 911 | 0.97 | 0.84–1.14 | 0.7357 | Enniatin A1 | 911 | 1.04 | 0.97–1.10 | 0.2474 | ||
T1 | 360 | 1 | Ref. | T1 | 316 | 1 | Ref. | ||||
T2 | 307 | 0.93 | 0.76–1.14 | 0.4626 | 0.5667 | T2 | 294 | 0.96 | 0.77–1.20 | 0.7215 | 0.6437 |
T3 | 244 | 0.93 | 0.71–1.21 | 0.5820 | T3 | 301 | 0.93 | 0.70–1.25 | 0.6437 | ||
Enniatin A | 911 | 1.00 | 0.96–1.04 | 0.9364 | Enniatin B1 | 911 | 1.03 | 0.98–1.10 | 0.2441 | ||
T1 | 307 | 1 | Ref. | T1 | 318 | 1 | Ref. | ||||
T2 | 325 | 1.02 | 0.84–1.23 | 0.8748 | 0.1160 | T2 | 293 | 1.00 | 0.80–1.25 | 0.9799 | 0.9896 |
T3 | 279 | 0.82 | 0.64–1.04 | 0.0947 | T3 | 300 | 1.00 | 0.75–1.34 | 0.9905 | ||
Enniatin B | 911 | 1.02 | 0.97–1.07 | 0.4636 | Ergocorninine | 911 | 1.03 | 0.96–1.11 | 0.4088 | ||
T1 | 322 | 1 | Ref. | T1 | 307 | 1 | Ref. | ||||
T2 | 284 | 0.98 | 0.78–1.23 | 0.8910 | 0.8307 | T2 | 285 | 0.87 | 0.69–1.09 | 0.2194 | 0.8448 |
T3 | 305 | 0.97 | 0.72–1.30 | 0.8309 | T3 | 319 | 1.00 | 0.77–1.31 | 0.9880 | ||
Ergocornine | 911 | 1.03 | 0.95–1.11 | 0.4684 | Ergocristinine | 911 | 1.03 | 0.96–1.11 | 0.4098 | ||
T1 | 305 | 1 | Ref. | T1 | 305 | 1 | Ref. | ||||
T2 | 283 | 0.88 | 0.70–1.11 | 0.2828 | 0.4757 | T2 | 278 | 0.85 | 0.68–1.06 | 0.1560 | 0.3873 |
T3 | 323 | 1.08 | 0.82–1.41 | 0.5947 | T3 | 328 | 1.09 | 0.84–1.42 | 0.5301 | ||
Ergocristine | 911 | 1.04 | 0.97–1.11 | 0.2354 | alpha-Ergocryptinine | 911 | 1.01 | 0.94–1.08 | 0.7996 | ||
T1 | 297 | 1 | Ref. | T1 | 293 | 1 | Ref. | ||||
T2 | 307 | 1.08 | 0.85–1.38 | 0.5228 | 0.1475 | T2 | 289 | 0.94 | 0.75–1.18 | 0.6148 | 0.2091 |
T3 | 307 | 1.22 | 0.92–1.62 | 0.1675 | T3 | 329 | 1.16 | 0.89–1.52 | 0.2680 | ||
alpha-Ergocryptine | 911 | 1.01 | 0.94–1.08 | 0.8209 | beta-Ergocryptine | 911 | 0.99 | 0.97–1.02 | 0.6153 | ||
T1 | 304 | 1 | Ref. | T1 | 287 | 1 | Ref. | ||||
T2 | 279 | 0.87 | 0.70–1.09 | 0.2316 | 0.6508 | T2 | 279 | 1.04 | 0.78–1.38 | 0.8019 | 0.0298 |
T3 | 328 | 1.06 | 0.81–1.40 | 0.6611 | T3 | 345 | 1.34 | 0.98–1.82 | 0.0657 | ||
Ergocryptine (alpha + beta epimers) | 911 | 0.98 | 0.96–1.01 | 0.1971 | Ergometrinine | 911 | 1.01 | 0.94–1.07 | 0.8427 | ||
T1 | 272 | 1 | Ref. | T1 | 300 | 1 | Ref. | ||||
T2 | 282 | 1.01 | 0.78–1.31 | 0.9214 | 0.6220 | T2 | 293 | 0.92 | 0.74–1.15 | 0.4681 | 0.3190 |
T3 | 357 | 1.07 | 0.79–1.46 | 0.6531 | T3 | 318 | 1.14 | 0.87–1.48 | 0.3370 | ||
Ergometrine | 911 | 1.03 | 0.97–1.10 | 0.3151 | Ergosine | 911 | 1.02 | 0.95–1.10 | 0.5265 | ||
T1 | 295 | 1 | Ref. | T1 | 305 | 1 | Ref. | ||||
T2 | 302 | 0.99 | 0.79–1.24 | 0.9372 | 0.5369 | T2 | 296 | 0.96 | 0.77–1.20 | 0.7302 | 0.8886 |
T3 | 314 | 1.08 | 0.83–1.40 | 0.5762 | T3 | 310 | 1.02 | 0.77–1.35 | 0.8739 | ||
Ergosinine | 911 | 1.01 | 0.95–1.06 | 0.8357 | Ergotaminine | 911 | 1.01 | 0.94–1.08 | 0.7761 | ||
T1 | 286 | 1 | Ref. | T1 | 301 | 1 | Ref. | ||||
T2 | 297 | 1.00 | 0.80–1.25 | 0.9787 | 0.1321 | T2 | 277 | 0.89 | 0.71–1.12 | 0.3207 | 0.5503 |
T3 | 328 | 1.21 | 0.93–1.58 | 0.1616 | T3 | 333 | 1.07 | 0.82–1.41 | 0.6168 | ||
Ergotamine | 911 | 1.02 | 0.96–1.08 | 0.4818 | Fumonisin B1 | 911 | 0.98 | 0.86–1.12 | 0.7649 | ||
T1 | 297 | 1 | Ref. | T1 | 397 | 1 | Ref. | ||||
T2 | 292 | 0.88 | 0.70–1.12 | 0.3072 | 0.9440 | T2 | 298 | 0.88 | 0.72–1.08 | 0.2155 | 0.1050 |
T3 | 322 | 1.02 | 0.76–1.37 | 0.9034 | T3 | 216 | 0.81 | 0.63–1.05 | 0.1083 | ||
Fumonisin B2 | 911 | 0.90 | 0.76–1.07 | 0.2239 | Fumonisin B3 | 911 | 0.99 | 0.93–1.07 | 0.8851 | ||
T1 | 393 | 1 | Ref. | T1 | 356 | 1 | Ref. | ||||
T2 | 290 | 0.81 | 0.67–0.99 | 0.0443 | 0.0577 | T2 | 303 | 1.05 | 0.86–1.27 | 0.6473 | 0.2159 |
T3 | 228 | 0.78 | 0.60–1.02 | 0.0647 | T3 | 252 | 1.15 | 0.92–1.44 | 0.2098 | ||
Fumonisins | 911 | 0.95 | 0.87–1.03 | 0.2415 | HT-2 toxin | 911 | 0.94 | 0.85–1.03 | 0.1996 | ||
T1 | 361 | 1 | Ref. | T1 | 339 | 1 | Ref. | ||||
T2 | 287 | 0.95 | 0.78–1.15 | 0.5829 | 0.3191 | T2 | 301 | 0.95 | 0.78–1.15 | 0.6069 | 0.8375 |
T3 | 263 | 0.89 | 0.71–1.12 | 0.3189 | T3 | 271 | 0.98 | 0.79–1.21 | 0.8392 | ||
Ochratoxin A | 911 | 1.05 | 0.91–1.21 | 0.5121 | Sum T-2 and HT-2 | 911 | 0.94 | 0.82–1.07 | 0.3462 | ||
T1 | 335 | 1 | Ref. | T1 | 357 | 1 | Ref. | ||||
T2 | 316 | 1.12 | 0.92–1.37 | 0.2532 | 0.3719 | T2 | 281 | 0.89 | 0.73–1.09 | 0.2760 | 0.3180 |
T3 | 260 | 1.12 | 0.88–1.42 | 0.3617 | T3 | 273 | 0.89 | 0.70–1.12 | 0.3074 | ||
Tentoxin | 911 | 1.04 | 0.92–1.17 | 0.5588 | Tenuazonic acid | 911 | 0.98 | 0.85–1.12 | 0.7559 | ||
T1 | 304 | 1 | Ref. | T1 | 320 | 1 | Ref. | ||||
T2 | 308 | 1.03 | 0.84–1.26 | 0.7930 | 0.6612 | T2 | 302 | 0.94 | 0.77–1.14 | 0.5244 | 0.3046 |
T3 | 299 | 0.95 | 0.75–1.21 | 0.7000 | T3 | 289 | 0.89 | 0.70–1.12 | 0.3039 | ||
T-2 toxin | 911 | 0.93 | 0.84–1.04 | 0.2288 | Zearalanone | 911 | 0.99 | 0.96–1.02 | 0.5669 | ||
T1 | 351 | 1 | Ref. | T1 | 289 | 1 | Ref. | ||||
T2 | 287 | 0.89 | 0.73–1.09 | 0.2771 | 0.9064 | T2 | 331 | 1.04 | 0.85–1.27 | 0.7089 | 0.6126 |
T3 | 273 | 0.98 | 0.78–1.24 | 0.8935 | T3 | 291 | 0.95 | 0.77–1.18 | 0.6585 | ||
alpha-Zearalenol | 911 | 1.02 | 0.96–1.08 | 0.4780 | beta-Zearalenol | 911 | 1.02 | 0.96–1.09 | 0.5133 | ||
T1 | 356 | 1 | Ref. | T1 | 362 | 1 | Ref. | ||||
T2 | 274 | 0.96 | 0.80–1.15 | 0.6592 | 0.5857 | T2 | 281 | 0.96 | 0.80–1.16 | 0.6861 | 0.8140 |
T3 | 281 | 1.09 | 0.87–1.37 | 0.4523 | T3 | 268 | 0.98 | 0.78–1.23 | 0.8751 | ||
Zearalenol | 911 | 0.96 | 0.89–1.03 | 0.2565 | Zearalenone | 911 | 0.98 | 0.86–1.11 | 0.7149 | ||
T1 | 338 | 1 | Ref. | T1 | 408 | 1 | Ref. | ||||
T2 | 317 | 0.90 | 0.74–1.10 | 0.3135 | 0.2477 | T2 | 257 | 0.92 | 0.75–1.12 | 0.3968 | 0.6439 |
T3 | 256 | 0.88 | 0.70–1.09 | 0.2428 | T3 | 246 | 0.95 | 0.74–1.22 | 0.6863 | ||
Ergot alkaloids | 911 | 1.04 | 0.97–1.11 | 0.2728 | Ochratoxins | 911 | 1.05 | 0.91–1.22 | 0.4987 | ||
T1 | 298 | 1 | Ref. | T1 | 336 | 1 | Ref. | ||||
T2 | 283 | 0.87 | 0.68–1.10 | 0.2413 | 0.4738 | T2 | 309 | 1.11 | 0.91–1.35 | 0.3177 | 0.3153 |
T3 | 330 | 1.08 | 0.82–1.42 | 0.6033 | T3 | 266 | 1.13 | 0.89–1.43 | 0.3092 | ||
Aflatoxins | 911 | 1.00 | 0.84–1.19 | 0.9790 | Patulin | 911 | 0.99 | 0.92–1.06 | 0.7407 | ||
T1 | 383 | 1 | Ref. | T1 | 354 | 1 | Ref. | ||||
T2 | 287 | 0.96 | 0.78–1.16 | 0.6485 | 0.7878 | T2 | 288 | 0.94 | 0.78–1.13 | 0.5041 | 0.9347 |
T3 | 241 | 0.97 | 0.75–1.24 | 0.8041 | T3 | 269 | 1.00 | 0.81–1.22 | 0.9628 | ||
Deoxynivalenol and derivatives | 911 | 0.96 | 0.81–1.14 | 0.6726 | T-2/HT-2 toxins | 911 | 0.94 | 0.85–1.04 | 0.2117 | ||
T1 | 364 | 1 | Ref. | T1 | 350 | 1 | Ref. | ||||
T2 | 308 | 0.99 | 0.80–1.21 | 0.8913 | 0.4282 | T2 | 297 | 0.92 | 0.75–1.11 | 0.3720 | 0.4750 |
T3 | 239 | 0.89 | 0.68–1.17 | 0.4169 | T3 | 264 | 0.92 | 0.74–1.15 | 0.4750 | ||
Nivalenol | 911 | 0.96 | 0.86–1.08 | 0.5140 | Fumonisins | 911 | 0.95 | 0.82–1.11 | 0.5282 | ||
T1 | 335 | 1 | Ref. | T1 | 382 | 1 | Ref. | ||||
T2 | 304 | 0.97 | 0.79–1.19 | 0.7938 | 0.5432 | T2 | 305 | 1.02 | 0.84–1.24 | 0.8419 | 0.4525 |
T3 | 272 | 0.92 | 0.72–1.19 | 0.5425 | T3 | 224 | 0.91 | 0.71–1.16 | 0.4338 | ||
Diacetoxyscirpenol | 911 | 0.96 | 0.82–1.12 | 0.5779 | Zearalenone and derivatives | 911 | 0.94 | 0.82–1.09 | 0.4176 | ||
T1 | 373 | 1 | Ref. | T1 | 403 | 1 | Ref. | ||||
T2 | 304 | 0.91 | 0.75–1.11 | 0.3767 | 0.3009 | T2 | 271 | 0.96 | 0.79–1.17 | 0.7036 | 0.2206 |
T3 | 234 | 0.88 | 0.68–1.13 | 0.3123 | T3 | 237 | 0.85 | 0.66–1.09 | 0.2071 | ||
Fusarium toxins | 911 | 0.93 | 0.77–1.13 | 0.4961 | Fusarenon X | 911 | 1.04 | 0.94–1.14 | 0.4467 | ||
T1 | 382 | 1 | Ref. | T1 | 322 | 1 | Ref. | ||||
T2 | 291 | 0.94 | 0.77–1.15 | 0.5631 | 0.5219 | T2 | 318 | 1.08 | 0.88–1.32 | 0.4499 | 0.6512 |
T3 | 238 | 0.92 | 0.71–1.20 | 0.5288 | T3 | 271 | 1.06 | 0.82–1.36 | 0.6659 | ||
Sterigmatocystins | 911 | 0.98 | 0.94–1.02 | 0.3215 | Moniliformine | 911 | 1.00 | 0.95–1.02 | 0.7841 | ||
T1 | 386 | 1 | Ref. | T1 | 332 | 1 | Ref. | ||||
T2 | 297 | 0.94 | 0.79–1.12 | 0.4939 | 0.0907 | T2 | 302 | 0.96 | 0.80–1.17 | 0.7097 | 0.8612 |
T3 | 228 | 0.82 | 0.66–1.03 | 0.0829 | T3 | 277 | 1.02 | 0.83–1.26 | 0.8238 | ||
Alternaria toxins | 911 | 1.05 | 0.89–1.25 | 0.5417 | Citrinin | 911 | 1.00 | 0.96–1.03 | 0.8126 | ||
T1 | 310 | 1 | Ref. | T1 | 327 | 1 | Ref. | ||||
T2 | 313 | 1.12 | 0.90–1.38 | 0.3119 | 0.7951 | T2 | 316 | 1.06 | 0.87–1.28 | 0.5694 | 0.9187 |
T3 | 288 | 1.04 | 0.80–1.37 | 0.7497 | T3 | 268 | 0.99 | 0.80–1.21 | 0.8992 | ||
Enniatins | 911 | 1.02 | 0.97–1.08 | 0.4021 | All Mycotoxins | 911 | 0.99 | 0.81–1.22 | 0.9424 | ||
T1 | 307 | 1 | Ref. | T1 | 370 | 1 | Ref. | ||||
T2 | 305 | 0.92 | 0.74–1.13 | 0.4071 | 0.3679 | T2 | 290 | 0.85 | 0.69–1.05 | 0.1375 | 0.1313 |
T3 | 299 | 0.88 | 0.67–1.16 | 0.3813 | T3 | 251 | 0.81 | 0.62–1.07 | 0.1366 |
(*) Fully adjusted model: stratified by sex, study center, and age at recruitment, and adjusted for BMI, energy intake, alcohol at recruitment, sex, education, physical activity index, diabetes, hypertension, and smoking status. Abbreviations: body weight (bw), 95% confidence interval (CI), first tertile is the reference tertile (T1, Ref.), hazard ratio (HR), middle bound (MB), second tertile (T2), third tertile (T3). For test of linear trends across tertiles, participants were assigned the score (1 to 3) of each category, and the corresponding variable was modeled as a continuous term. All p-values between the tertiles, known as TrendTest, and all p-values comparing each tertile with the reference, known as ProbChiSq, were below 0.05. Therefore, no statistically significant associations were found between any studied mycotoxin or group and risk of RCC development. Moreover, the multi-adjusted Cox hazard models did not result in significant associations between the individual mycotoxin exposures and RCC risk.