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. 2022 Aug 11;150:e159. doi: 10.1017/S0950268822001327

Table 1.

Model output for detection rates of considered diseases, exposure window and enforced self-isolation period

Self-isolation period (days)
Exposure window (days) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
COVID-19 3 0.12 0.27 0.44 0.60 0.72 0.81 0.87 0.92 0.94 0.96 0.97 0.98 0.99 0.99
7 0.22 0.39 0.55 0.68 0.78 0.85 0.90 0.93 0.96 0.97 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.99
14 0.24 0.41 0.57 0.70 0.79 0.86 0.91 0.94 0.96 0.97 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.99
Influenza 3 0.79 0.97 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
7 0.79 0.97 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
14 0.79 0.97 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
SARS 3 0.12 0.27 0.44 0.61 0.75 0.87 0.93 0.97 0.99 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
7 0.23 0.42 0.59 0.73 0.84 0.92 0.96 0.98 0.99 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
14 0.26 0.44 0.61 0.74 0.85 0.92 0.96 0.98 0.99 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
Ebola 3 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.08 0.14 0.21 0.30 0.39 0.48 0.57 0.66 0.73 0.79
7 0.02 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.22 0.30 0.38 0.47 0.55 0.63 0.70 0.77 0.82 0.87
14 0.08 0.15 0.23 0.31 0.38 0.46 0.54 0.62 0.68 0.75 0.80 0.84 0.88 0.91

Results are averaged across flight type.