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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2023 Oct 1.
Published in final edited form as: Ann Rheum Dis. 2022 Jun 13;81(10):1438–1444. doi: 10.1136/annrheumdis-2022-222439

Table 2:

The effect of achieving serologic remission on risk of relapse, ESRD, and death using an emulated target trial design (n=506)

Outcome Serologic Remission within 180 days Persistently Positive Titer at 180 days
Relapse
   Risk over 5 years (95% CI), per 100 9.4 (3.4 to 15.4) 18.3 (9.9 to 26.7)
   Risk difference over 5 years (95% CI), per 100 −8.9 (−17.4 to −0.4) Ref
   Adjusted HR (95% CI) 0.55 (0.38 to 0.81) 1.0 (Ref)
 
ESRD or Death (composite) *
   Risk over 5 years (95% CI), per 100 19.8 (11.2 to 28.6) 27.1 (17.0 to 37.3)
   Risk difference over 5 years (95% CI), per 100 −7.3 (−15.8 to 1.2) Ref
   Adjusted HR (95% CI) 0.87 (0.61 to 1.25) 1.0 (Ref)
 
ESRD *
   Risk over 5 years (95% CI), per 100 9.7 (3.6 to 15.8) 12.3 (5.4 to 19.1)
   Risk difference over 5 years (95% CI), per 100 −2.5 (−11.0 to 5.9) Ref
   Adjusted HR (95% CI) 0.93 (0.70 to 1.23) 1.0 (Ref)
 
Death
   Risk over 5 years (95% CI), per 100 13.4 (6.2 to 20.5) 20.0 (11.3 to 28.8)
   Risk difference over 5 years (95% CI), per 100 −6.7 (−15.1 to 1.8) Ref
   Adjusted HR (95% CI) 0.81 (0.49 to 1.35) 1.0 (Ref)
*

4 patients with ESRD >300d prior to AAV diagnosis were excluded from analyses of ESRD outcomes

adjusted for baseline covariates: age, sex, ANCA type, induction treatment regimen, BVAS/WG, eGFR, and treatment with plasma exchange

ANCA = antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibody, ESRD = end-stage renal disease, HR = hazard ratio, CI = confidence interval