Table 2. Summary of the performances for the 5- and 10-year follow-ups achieved by Model 1, Model 2, and Model 3 over the ten training sets after applying a 20 5-fold cross validation procedure.
Follow-up | Model | AUC (%) | Accuracy (%) | Sensitivity (%) | Specificity (%) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Model 1 | 68.1 [66.8–69.4] | 66.8 [65.9–68.1] | 52.8 [50.8–55.0] | 72.3 [71.1–73.6] | |
5 years | Model 2 | 94.8 [93.7–95.7] | 88.8 [87.7–90.0] | 81.9 [78.7–84.6] | 91.2 [90.1–92.0] |
Model 3 | 83.8 [79.5–86.8] | 75.8 [71.6–79.1] | 77.1 [71.4–81.3] | 73.7 [69.6–78.6] | |
10 years | Model 1 | 68.0 [66.7–69.6] | 64.3 [62.9–65.3] | 58.0 [55.9–60.1] | 68.0 [66.3–69.4] |
Model 2 | 94.4 [93.9–95.5] | 87.0 [85.6–88.2] | 83.5 [81.5–85.2] | 88.9 [87.4–90.3] | |
Model 3 | 89.9 [86.0–92.3] | 82.4 [78.5–85.1] | 84.0 [79.6–87.6] | 80.0 [73.5–84.4] |
The performances are evaluated in percentage median values of AUC, accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity. The percentage first and third quartile values are also computed and reported in brackets.