Table 2.
Increment in the accumulated number of cases and deaths in the period from 01-April-2020 to 31-Aug-2020 if the Social Isolation Index is reduced by 1 to 10 points in Brazil. The numbers in the parentheses are 90% confidence intervals
Reduction | Cases (90% CI) | Deaths (90% CI) |
---|---|---|
-1.00 | 58.7% (2.76%–369%) | 56.9% (2.50%–335%) |
-2.00 | 74.5% (0.36%–421%) | 72.9% (0.92%–393%) |
-3.00 | 39.8% (0.93%–279%) | 33.6% (1.07%–249%) |
-4.00 | 21.8% (0.33%–190%) | 14.6% (0.24%–147%) |
-5.00 | 10.2% (0.36%–259%) | 9.58% (0.22%–224%) |
-6.00 | 44.7% (5.94%–480%) | 58.3% (9.29%–506%) |
-7.00 | 58.5% (2.77%–793%) | 78.4% (4.22%–845%) |
-8.00 | 232% (7.83%–1,223%) | 317% (0.42%–1,303%) |
-9.00 | 309% (6.68%–1,623%) | 437% (10.8%–1,757%) |
-10.0 | 651% (12.5%–2,131%) | 785% (14.6%–2,312%) |