Table 1.

Table of variables. Summary of the variables used in the experiments. ^†The cumulative probability distribution is reported as {${\mathrm{p}}_1,{\mathrm{p}}_2\cdots ,{\mathrm{p}}_{\mathrm{n}}$}, where ${\mathrm{p}}_{\mathrm{i}}$ is the probability that $\mathrm{i}$ is the last day of latency or of infectiousness, and a measles case will change state within $\mathrm{n}$ days

Base case scenario
Variables	Base case value	Source
Population of Virginia	7,688,059	Synthetic populations [13]
Infected individuals at day 0	1 (5–17 years of age)	Assumed
Proportion vaccinated	91.5%	Calibrated using VDH school immunization data [26] and state-level immunization rate [27]
Transmissibility	0.5	Calibrated to generate an outbreak size of 650 [28]
Simulation duration	365 days	Assumed
Home isolation compliance	90%	[25]
CDF of the latency period distribution	{0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.1, 0.2, 0.6, 1}†	[25]
CDF of the infectious period distribution	{0, 0,0, 0, 0, 0, 0.3, 0.7,1}†	[25]

Experiments
Variables	Set of values used in experiments
Transmissibility ($\mathrm{\tau }$)	{0.5, 0.6, 0.7, 0.8, 0.9}
Home isolation compliance	{75, 80, 85, 90, 95}%
Home isolation initiation day	{3, 4, 5, 6, 7}
Decline in immunization rate ($\alpha$)	{0, 5, 10, 15, 20, 25}%