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. 2022 Sep 20;17(9):e0274835. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0274835

Table 2. Model 1 re-runs without the VERA-4630 TAQ (compare with Table 1).

A. Results (bold = 68.3% hpd, and non-bold = 95.4% hpd) for the date of the Thera Eruption Boundary from re-runs of Model 1 (Fig 9 and Table 1) but without the VERA-4630 TAQ. Otherwise as Table 1. The absence of the VERA-4630 TAQ leads to slightly more spread, and to minor variations at the late margins of the 95.4% ranges, in particular.

Run Am/Ao LnN(ln(3),ln(2)) Dates BCE Am/Ao LnN(ln(3),ln(2)) with Delta_R (4,2) Dates BCE Am/Ao U(0,15) Dates BCE Am/Ao U(0,15) with Delta_R (4,2) Dates BCE
A. Thera Eruption (Stage v) Boundary
1 120/
104		 1607–1587 104/
87		 1606–1578 120/
105		 1605–1586 105/
89		 1605–1580
1609–1551 1608–1543 1609–1553 1608–1547 (94.4)
1545–1544 (0.3)
1541–1539 (0.7)
2 120
/104		 1607–1586 105/
86		 1606–1577 (64.8)
1564–1561 (3.5)		 121/
106		 1605–1586 104/
89		 1605–1576
1609–1550 1608–1540 1609–1553 1608–1537
3 120/
104		 1607–1586 105/
86		 1606–1577 119/
105		 1605–1585 106/
90		 1605–1575 (65.3)
1568–1566 (1.7)
1564–1562 (1.2)
1609–1552 1608–1541 1608–1553 1607–1534
4 119/
104		 1607–1586 106/
86		 1606–1578 (61.3)
1567–1561 (6.5)		 119/
106		 1605–1586 105/
91		 1605–1578
1610–1551 1608–1539 1609–1550 1608–1539
5 120/
104		 1607–1586 106/85 1606–1578 (67.1)
1561–1560 (1.2)		 119/
105		 1605–1586 104/
90		 1605–1576
1609–1551 1608–1539 1609–1550 1607–1540
B. Stages (ii)/(iii) Boundary
1 120/
104		 1610–1590 104/
87		 1610–1581 120/
105		 1612–1594 105/
89		 1612–1587
1614–1554 1612–1546 1617–1559 1616–1552 (94.7)
1550–1548 (0.7)
2 120
/104		 1610–1590 105/
86		 1610–1581 (63.7)
1568–1564 (4.6) 		121/
106		 1612–1593 104/
89		 1613–1585
1614–1553 1612–1543 1617–1562 1615–1545
3 120/
104		 1610–1590 105/
86		 1610–1581 119/
105		 1612–1593 106/
90		 1612–1583 (64.9)
1568–1565 (3.4)
1614–1555 1612–1544 1617–1560 1615–1542
4 119/
104		 1610–1590 106/
86		 1609–1582 (61.3)
1570–1564 (7.0) 		119/
106		 1612–1593 105/
91		 1612–1586
1614–1555 1612–1543 1617–1559 1616–1547
5 120/
104		 1610–1590 106/85 1610–1582 (65.5)
1577–1561 (2.7) 		119/
105		 1612–1593 104/
90		 1612–1583
1614–1554 1612–1543 1617–1557 1615–1546