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. 2022 Sep 21;378:e070312. doi: 10.1136/bmj-2022-070312

Table 2.

Risk of type 2 diabetes in women with a history of gestational diabetes mellitus by number of optimal modifiable factors, based on data from the Nurses’ Health Study II (n=4275)

No of optimal modifiable factors‡ No of cases/person years Absolute risk (No of cases/1000 person years) Hazard ratio (95% CI)
Model 1* Model 2†
0 27/1349.3 20.0 1.00 (reference) 1.00 (reference)
1 310/15 895.7 19.5 0.96 (0.61 to 1.51) 0.94 (0.59 to 1.49)
2 361/28 558.3 12.6 0.61 (0.39 to 0.95) 0.61 (0.38 to 0.96)
3 175/26 671.0 6.6 0.31 (0.19 to 0.49) 0.32 (0.20 to 0.51)
4 46/13 883.3 3.3 0.15 (0.09 to 0.25) 0.15 (0.09 to 0.26)
5 5/2982.3 1.7 0.08 (0.03 to 0.22) 0.08 (0.03 to 0.23)
Ptrend§ <0.001 <0.001

CI=confidence interval.

*

Model 1 was adjusted for age (months).

Model 2 was adjusted for age, as well as race (white, non-white), parity (1, 2, ≥3), age at first live birth (<30, ≥30 years), total duration of breastfeeding (none to <1, 1-6, 6-12, >12 months), oral contraceptive use (never, former, current), menopausal status (pre-menopausal, post-menopausal), family history of diabetes in first degree relatives (yes, no), and total energy intake (divided by quartiles, kcal/day; 1 kcal=4.18 kJ).

The optimal level of each factor was defined as follows: current non-smoker (including never or past smoker); body mass index <25.0; top two groups of the modified Alternate Healthy Eating Index score (divided by quintiles); ≥150 min/week of moderate intensity physical activity or ≥75 min/week of vigorous intensity physical activity; alcohol intake 5.0-14.9 g/day.

§

Number of optimal levels of modifiable risk factors was entered as a continuous variable into the model to estimate P value for trend.