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. 2022 Sep 22;12:15777. doi: 10.1038/s41598-022-20076-z

Table 1.

Lead time of normalized IAV viral RNA signal to weekly IAV percent positivity.

Outbreak progression Lead time of wastewater to clinical metric Details
First detection 17 days

WWS: IAV in population first identified

Clinical: IAV in population first identified

Outbreak detection 21 days

WWS: First 3 consecutive days of increasing IAV viral signal

Clinical: First 2 consecutive weeks of increasing weekly percent positivity

Peak of outbreak 15 days

WWS: Date of highest 7-day midpoint avg. IAV viral signal

Clinical: Date of highest percent positivity

Outbreak resolution 17 days

WWS: 7 consecutive days of decreasing 7-day midpoint avg. IAV viral signal

Clinical: 2 consecutive weeks of decreasing weekly percent positivity