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. 2022 Sep 12;7(9):e009773. doi: 10.1136/bmjgh-2022-009773

Table 4.

Economic impacts of OAO, baseline projections for 2020, 2030 and 2060 (in 2019 USD), by income group

Direct medical costs (billions) Direct non-medical costs (billions) Total direct costs (billions) Absenteeism costs (billions) Presenteeism costs (billions) Premature mortality costs (billions) Total indirect costs (billions) Total costs (billions) Total costs per capita Total costs as a per cent of GDP
Low-income
 2020 0.50 0.05 0.55 0.61 0.93 1.31 2.85 3.41 6.38 0.92
 2030 1.06 0.10 1.16 1.07 1.66 2.75 5.48 6.64 9.63 1.05
 2060 7.51 0.41 7.92 4.23 6.99 20.34 31.56 39.48 32.05 1.38
Lower middle income
 2020 9.63 0.25 9.88 5.06 13.77 58.10 76.93 86.81 29.50 1.41
 2030 18.35 0.40 18.75 8.69 24.06 135.76 168.52 187.27 56.13 1.74
 2060 99.90 1.08 100.99 35.00 99.45 1258.55 1392.99 1493.98 350.32 2.67
Upper-middle income
 2020 81.56 0.53 82.09 27.81 76.88 311.91 416.60 498.69 173.67 2.01
 2030 148.02 0.70 148.72 43.98 126.62 809.28 979.88 1128.61 376.40 2.77
 2060 638.97 1.07 640.03 135.07 406.49 10 672.13 11 213.69 11 853.72 3936.29 3.20
High-income
 2020 521.90 0.20 522.10 93.62 189.25 561.69 844.57 1366.66 1137.67 2.65
 2030 677.20 0.22 677.42 115.16 230.72 879.46 1225.34 1902.76 1545.45 2.88
 2060 1322.55 0.28 1322.83 218.51 419.50 3521.08 4159.09 5481.92 4404.59 3.80

GDP, gross domestic product; OAO, overweight and obesity.