Table 5.

Economic impacts of OAO, baseline projections for 2020, 2030 and 2060 (in 2019 USD), by WHO region

	Direct medical costs (billions)	Direct non-medical costs (billions)	Total direct costs (billions)	Absenteeism costs (billions)	Presenteeism costs (billions)	Premature mortality costs (billions)	Total indirect costs (billions)	Total costs (billions)	Total costs per capita	Total costs as a per cent of GDP
AFR	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
2020	4.39	0.11	4.50	3.00	4.96	10.27	18.23	22.73	20.66	1.21
2030	7.94	0.20	8.13	4.61	7.71	19.36	31.69	39.82	28.41	1.44
2060	35.50	0.75	36.25	12.46	21.47	125.39	159.33	195.58	79.04	2.11
EMR	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
2020	12.72	0.07	12.79	3.97	13.25	40.01	57.23	70.02	112.43	2.32
2030	18.30	0.10	18.40	5.29	17.73	80.64	103.66	122.06	168.31	2.78
2060	42.11	0.23	42.34	10.10	34.36	634.41	678.87	721.21	738.67	5.41
EUR	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
2020	156.66	0.21	156.87	65.61	62.80	230.70	359.11	515.98	553.19	2.34
2030	195.30	0.23	195.53	79.48	77.42	338.82	495.73	691.26	733.38	2.48
2060	347.61	0.28	347.89	152.25	158.10	1076.99	1387.33	1735.22	1877.52	3.07
AMR	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
2020	357.62	0.19	357.81	26.82	118.49	367.06	512.38	870.19	891.26	3.21
2030	473.27	0.23	473.51	32.64	139.55	579.99	752.18	1225.69	1172.77	3.49
2060	961.62	0.34	961.96	51.61	209.37	2187.75	2448.72	3410.68	2956.66	4.49
SEA	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
2020	5.16	0.15	5.31	2.01	7.32	50.09	59.42	64.73	32.44	1.36
2030	11.26	0.24	11.50	3.89	14.14	132.78	150.81	162.30	74.83	1.89
2060	68.74	0.59	69.33	18.50	66.78	1377.60	1462.88	1532.21	648.65	3.09
WPR	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
2020	77.04	0.30	77.34	25.69	74.01	234.88	334.59	411.92	214.35	1.70
2030	138.57	0.42	138.99	42.98	126.52	675.66	845.16	984.15	498.89	2.49
2060	613.35	0.66	614.00	147.89	442.35	10 069.95	10 660.19	11 274.19	6054.71	3.06

AFR, Africa; AMR, the Americas; EMR, Eastern Mediterranean; EUR, Europe; GDP, gross domestic product; SEA, South-East Asian; WPR, Western Pacific.