Table 2.
Bayesian spatial conditional autoregressive models of socio-ecological drivers of childhood pneumonia and diarrhoea in Queensland, Australia
| Variable | Posterior (mean±s.d.) | Monte Carlo error | RR (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model 1: Pnuemonia (dry season) | |||
| Intercept | −0·774 ± 0·122 | <0·01 | 0·460 (0·365–0·590) |
| Temperature | −0·056 ± 0·040 | <0·01 | 0·945 (0·876–1·024) |
| Rainfall | 0·003 ± 0·001 | <0·01 | 1·003 (0·999–1·005) |
| SEIFA | −0·001 ± 0·004 | <0·01 | 0·998 (0·997–0·999)* |
| Model 2: Pnuemonia (wet season) | |||
| Intercept | −0·724 ± 0·128 | <0·01 | 0·486 (0·376–0·619) |
| Temperature | −0·023 ± 0·041 | <0·01 | 0·977 (0·901–1·058) |
| Rainfall | 0·003 ± 0·001 | <0·01 | 1·003 (1·001–1·005)* |
| SEIFA | −0·002 ± 0·001 | <0·01 | 0·998 (0·997–0·999)* |
| Model 1: Diarrhoea (dry season) | |||
| Intercept | −1·268 ± 0·126 | <0·01 | 0·281 (0·220–0·362) |
| Temperature | −0·059 ± 0·043 | <0·01 | 0·942 (0·887–1·028) |
| Rainfall | 0·004 ± 0·001 | <0·01 | 1·004 (1·002–1·007)* |
| SEIFA | 0·001 ± 0·001 | <0·01 | 1·000 (0·999–1·002) |
| Model 2: Diarrhoea (wet season) | |||
| Intercept | −1·130 ± 0·124 | <0·01 | 0·322 (0·254–0·410) |
| Temperature | −0·139 ± 0·040 | <0·01 | 0·870 (0·805–0·943)* |
| Rainfall | 0·004 ± 0·001 | <0·01 | 1·004 (1·002–1·007)* |
| SEIFA | −0·001 ± 0·001 | <0·01 | 0·999 (0·998–1·000) |
RR, Relative risk; CI, confidence interval; SEIFA, socioeconomic index for areas.
*
P < 0.05.