Table 2.

Point values and probability distribution [LN(a, b) = Lognormal distribution with geometric mean a and geometric standard deviation b] of parameter values and initial values used in the model

Symbol	Meaning	Distribution/point value
Mosquito parameter
μAa	Average mortality rate of aquatic phase (d−1)	LN(0·07, 2·29)
ηAa	Average maturation rate from aquatic phase to adult (d−1)	LN(0·004, 5·07)
μma	Average mortality rate for mosquito in adult stage (d−1)	LN(0·04, 1·38)
νmb	Extrinsic incubation rate (d−1)	LN(0·08, 1·11)
Bc	Biting rate (d−1)	LN(0·46, 1·50)
βmhd	Transmission probability from vector to host per bite (bite−1)	LN(0·71, 1·16)
μbe	Number of eggs at each deposit per capita (d−1)	6
Human parameter
βhmf	Transmission probability from host to vector per bite (bite−1)	LN(0·71, 1·16)
ηhg	Mean viraemic rate (d−1)	LN(0·24, 1·38)
νhh	Intrinsic incubation rate (d−1)	LN(0·04, 1·17)
μhi	Human mortality rate (d−1)	LN(2·96 × 10−8, 1·00)
Initial values used in the model
Nh	Total human population in Kaohsiung	2 759 160
Eh(0), Ih(0)	Exposed, infected human	1
Rh(0)	Resistant human	0
me	Female mosquitoes per human	6
ke	Number of larvae per human	3
Am(0)e	Aquatic phase: k × Nh	8 277 480
Sm(0)e	Susceptible mosquitoes: m × Nh	16 554 960
Em(0), Im(0)	Exposed, infected mosquitoes	0
Ke	Maximal capacity of larvae: k × Nh	8 277 480

^aEstimate based on Yang et al. [11].

^bEstimate based on Halstead [28].

^cEsitmate based on Pinho et al. [29].

^dEstimate based on Newton & Reiter [24].

^eEstimate based on Dumont et al. [25].

^fEstimate based on Rosen et al. [30] and Watts et al. [31].

^gEstimate based on Harn [32].

^hEstimate based on Hsieh & Ma [33].

ⁱAdopted from the Department of Statistics, Ministry of the Interior, ROC.