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. 2016 Sep 28;145(1):208–215. doi: 10.1017/S0950268816002065

Table 1.

Distribution of numbers of PID after 8 years, posterior mean % in each category (95% credible intervals), compared to the findings from the Lund study (see text)

No. of episodes Model: all PID Model: diagnosed PID Lund study
Age 16–24 years
1 PID 66·3 (51·3–78·0) 85·4 (78·3–90·2) 77·7 (75·1–80·3)
2 PID 23·6 (18·3–27·2) 12·8 (9·1–17·8) 16·0 (13·8–18·4)
⩾3 PID 10·1 (3·75–21·5) 1·8 (0·7–3·9) 6·2 (4·8–7·8)
Age 25–44 years
1 PID 75·2 (62·3–84·7) 90·0 (84·4–93·5) 87·0 (82·6–90·9)
2 PID 19·3 (13·5–25·0) 9·3 (6·2–13·6) 11·0 (7·5–15·1)
⩾3 PID 5·5 (1·8–12·7) 0·9 (0·3–2·0) 2·0 (0·6–4·0)

PID, Pelvic inflammatory disease.

Comparison between observed and predicted proportions is only relevant for PIDs that are second or third (or more) PID episodes - the numbers not in italics (see text).