Table 4.
Number of years until the introduction of a rabies case into Japan (Y) from each subregion or region
| Region | Subregion | YS | YR | Yaqs,worldwide/Yusfj,worldwide | Yworldwide | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AQS | Africa | Eastern Africa | 2·72 × 106 (7·3 × 105, 6·89 × 106) | 5·26 × 105 (1·4 × 105, 1·35 × 106) | 7·8 × 104 (2·15 × 104, 1·94 × 105) | 4·94 × 104 (1·92 × 104, 9·46 × 104) |
| Western Africa | 7·92 × 105 (2·12 × 105, 2·02 × 106) | |||||
| Southern Africa | 3·69 × 106 (9·86 × 105, 9·39 × 106) | |||||
| Asia | Eastern Asia | 6·32 × 105 (1·69 × 105, 1·61 × 106) | 1·37 × 105 (3·67 × 104, 3·49 × 105) | |||
| Central Asia | 7·61 × 106 (2·01 × 106, 1·93 × 107) | |||||
| Southern Asia | 5·39 × 106 (1·45 × 106, 1·37 × 107) | |||||
| South-Eastern Asia | 2·26 × 105 (7·14 × 104, 6·77 × 105) | |||||
| Western Asia | 6·05 × 105 (1·62 × 105, 1·54 × 106) | |||||
| Europe | Eastern Europe | 7·54 × 105 (2·08 × 105, 1·88 × 106) | 6·65 × 105 (1·84 × 105, 1·66 × 106) | |||
| Northern Europe | 1·12 × 107 (3·02 × 106, 2·82 × 107) | |||||
| Southern Europe | 1·38 × 107 (3·73 × 106, 3·44 × 107) | |||||
| Western Europe | 9·3 × 107 (2·25 × 107, 2·45 × 108) | |||||
| Latin America and Caribbean | Caribbean | 2·39 × 106 (6·36 × 105, 5·99 × 106) | 1·91 × 106 (5·16 × 105, 4·83 × 106) | |||
| Central America | 2·78 × 107 (7·48 × 106, 7·11 × 107) | |||||
| South America | 1·52 × 107 (4·06 × 106, 3·87 × 107) | |||||
| North America | Northern America | 6·99 × 105 (1·87 × 105, 1·79 × 106) | 6·99 × 105 (1·87 × 105, 1·79 × 106) | |||
| USFJ | Africa | Southern Africa | 1·47 × 107 (1·15 × 107, 1·86 × 107) | 1·47 × 107 (1·15 × 107, 1·86 × 107) | 1·86 × 105 (1·54 × 105, 2·22 × 105) | |
| Asia | Eastern Asia | 7·31 × 106 (5·56 × 106, 9·5 × 106) | 9·53 × 105 (7·96 × 105, 1·13 × 106) | |||
| South-Eastern Asia | 3·84 × 106 (3·44 × 106, 4·28 × 106) | |||||
| Western Asia | 1·56 × 106 (1·18 × 106, 2·04 × 106) | |||||
| Europe | Eastern Europe | 1·43 × 107 (1·29 × 107, 1·59 × 107) | 6·13 × 106 (4·82 × 106, 7·7 × 106) | |||
| Northern Europe | 5·09 × 107 (1·93 × 107, 1·12 × 108) | |||||
| Southern Europe | 1·85 × 107 (1·13 × 107, 2·9 × 107) | |||||
| Western Europe | 2·49 × 108 (3·56 × 107, 7·18 × 108) | |||||
| Latin America and Caribbean | Caribbean | 2·12 × 106 (1·08 × 106, 3·87 × 106) | 1·92 × 106 (1·03 × 106, 3·36 × 106) | |||
| Central America | 2·49 × 107 (1·6 × 107, 3·75 × 107) | |||||
| North America | Northern America | 2·88 × 105 (2·2 × 105, 3·73 × 105) | 2·88 × 105 (2·2 × 105, 3·73 × 105) |
AQS, Animal Quarantine Service; USFJ, United States Force Japan.
Values are presented as: mean (5th percentile, 95th percentile); ×10n refers to multiplying by 10n. There was no import of dogs or cats into Japan during 2010–2013 from the following subregions: Middle Africa and Northern Africa (via AQS); Eastern Africa, Middle Africa, Northern Africa Western Africa, Central Asia, Southern Asia and South America (via USFJ). The number of rabies cases was assumed to be zero for the following subregions: Australia/New Zealand, Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia. The YS for all these subregions were therefore assumed to be zero.