Table 8.

Effect of past droughts on HIV prevalence.

	Women sample
		work in		work outside
		agriculture †		agriculture ‡
	All	self	HH head	self	HH head
	(1)	(2)	(3)	(4)	(5)
Nb of six-months droughts in the:
last two years	0.012∗	0.004	0.010	0.006	0.008
	(0.006)	(0.008)	(0.008)	(0.012)	(0.009)
last five years	0.015∗∗∗	0.010	0.015∗	0.019	0.018∗∗
	(0.006)	(0.008)	(0.008)	(0.012)	(0.009)
last ten years	0.003	0.003	0.006	0.006	0.005
	(0.006)	(0.008)	(0.008)	(0.012)	(0.009)
Observations	7,718	2,979	2,693	2,130	3,321
R2	0.053	0.044	0.028	0.063	0.059
Average HIV prevalence	0.110	0.081	0.075	0.160	0.137
	Men sample
		work in		work outside
		agriculture †		agriculture ‡
	All	self	HH head	self	HH head
	(1)	(2)	(3)	(4)	(5)
Nb of six-months droughts in the:
last two years	0.007	−0.002	0.000	0.015∗	0.012
	(0.005)	(0.008)	(0.008)	(0.009)	(0.009)
last five years	0.013∗∗	0.011	0.009	0.019∗∗	0.017∗∗
	(0.005)	(0.009)	(0.008)	(0.008)	(0.008)
last ten years	0.003	0.002	0.001	0.008	0.005
	(0.005)	(0.008)	(0.007)	(0.008)	(0.008)
Observations	6,593	2,677	2,294	2,950	2,993
R2	0.070	0.042	0.038	0.084	0.085
Average HIV prevalence	0.072	0.053	0.052	0.101	0.099

Clustered standard errors in parentheses. ∗ p < 0.10, ∗∗ p < 0.05, ∗∗∗ p < 0.01.

⋄ Droughts from November to April are considered.

† work in agriculture as self-employed or employee. ‡ work outside agriculture: professional/technical/managerial work, clerical, sales, household and domestic, services, skilled and unskilled manual work). Individuals who do not work are excluded from the sub-group analysis which explains that the number of observations of (1) is different from the addition of observations in (2) and (4). Occupation of the HH head was not available for all individuals.