(A) In the Kalman filter (KF) model, the subject makes an observation with Gaussian variability at each time step. They combine their prediction with their observation to compute an optimal estimate . (B) In the optimal control models, this estimate is then used to compute an optimal action using the linear quadratic regulator (LQR). The optimal action can be based on the task goal only or (C) bounded by internal costs, which, for example, penalize large movements. (D) Finally, the subject may act rationally using optimal estimation and control, but may use a subjective internal model of stimulus dynamics that differs from the true generative model of the task. These four different models are illustrated with an example stimulus and tracking trajectory (left subplots) and corresponding cross-correlograms (CCG, right subplots; see Mulligan et al., 2013 and ‘Cross-correlograms’).