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. 2022 Oct 4;857:159188. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.159188

Table 3.

Lagged moving average of the SARS-CoV-2 concentration for days with positive COVID-19 cases and percentage of days that the time-lagged concentrations were able to predict days with positive COVID-19 cases and negative COVID-19 cases.

Date Number of COVID-19 cases Air SARS-CoV-2 GC/m3
Surface SARS-CoV-2 GC/m2
Wastewater SARS-CoV-2 GC/L
Lag-1 Lag-2 Lag-3 Lag-1 Lag-2 Lag-3 Lag-1 Lag-2 Lag-3
3/9/2021 1 4.0 3.3 2.5 ND ND ND 2475 1700 1481
3/15/2021 1 5.5 7.7 9.4 ND ND ND ND ND 88
3/27/2021 1 17.8 11.8 8.9 38.3 27.5 23.4 4775 3183 2388
4/6/2021 1 7.5 15.5 14.4 7.0 4.7 3.8 ND ND ND
4/8/2021 1 0.5 3.2 4.0 2.8 4.2 4.9 ND ND ND
4/9/2021 1 1.3 1.2 3.0 2.8 1.8 3.1 83 56 42
4/13/2021 1 19.8 15.7 11.8 89.5 61.2 45.9 333 222 167
4/19/2021 2 3.5 8.3 8.0 7.3 7.7 5.8 183 122 1033
4/20/2021 1 2.8 2.3 6.3 ND 4.8 5.8 300 200 150
4/23/2021 2 1.0 0.7 0.5 4.5 3.0 2.3 ND 844 692
4/27/2021 1 ND 12.7 62.0 15.8 22.7 17.0 975 1583 1254



% days COVID-19+ 90.9 100 100 72.7 81.8 81.8 63.6 72.7 72.7
% days COVID-19- 63.6 72.7 84.8 51.5 51.5 51.5 66.7 72.7 84.8

ND = below limit of detection.