Table 3.
Reported infections and deaths (https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#datatracker-home) and simulated infections, hospitalizations, and deaths during the periods from 7 September to 25 December 2020 and from 25 December 2020 to 4 April 2021.
| 7 Sep to 25 Dec 2020 |
25 Dec to 4 Apr 2021 |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcomes | Reported | Simulated | Reported | Simulated |
| Cases or Infections | 12,545,671 | 45,075,200 | 11,603,565 | 23,635,060 |
| Hospitalizations | 1,766,850 | 974,486 | ||
| Deaths | 147,776 | 176,342 | 214,902 | 120,978 |
Notes: Cases are reported, infections are simulated, of which roughly 75% are asymptomatic. Consequently, fewer symptomatic infections are predicted than cases reported. More deaths were simulated than reported during the first period, but fewer during the second. Hospitalizations are not compiled, but rates from surveillance of about 10% of the US population are available (https://gis.cdc.gov/grasp/COVIDNet/COVID19_3.html).