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. 2022 Oct 5;7(11):1160–1169. doi: 10.1001/jamacardio.2022.3305

Table 2. Unadjusted Outcomes of Death, Aortic Dissection, and Aortic Surgery by Initial Thoracic Aortic Aneurysm (TAA) Size and Time-Updated TAA Size.

No. (%) Total event-free person-years, No. Deaths, No. (%) Aortic dissection or rupture, No. (%) Aortic surgical procedures, No. (%) Rate of aortic dissection per 100 person-years (95% CI)b Rate of aortic dissection or all-cause death per 100 person-years (95% CI)b
Outcomes by initial TAA size, cm
<4.0 726 (11.4) 2700 121 (16.7) 0 38 (5.2) 0.00 (0.00-0.00) 4.41 (3.68-5.28)
4.0-4.4 3120 (49.0) 10 005 514 (16.5) 15 (0.5) 237 (7.6) 0.15 (0.09-0.25) 4.96 (4.54-5.42)
4.5-4.9 1698 (26.7) 5436 324 (19.1) 18 (1.1) 313 (18.4) 0.33 (0.21-0.53) 5.63 (5.04-6.30)
5.0-5.4 548 (8.6) 1380 136 (24.6) 6 (1.1) 225 (41.1) 0.43 (0.20-0.97) 8.48 (7.07-10.16)
5.5-5.9 156 (2.5) 334 40 (25.6) 1 (0.6) 78 (50.0) 0.30 (0.04-2.12) 11.06 (8.01-15.27)
≥6.0 124 (2.0) 182 47 (37.9) 4 (3.2) 64 (51.6) 2.19 (0.82-5.84) 21.36 (15.61-29.24)
Outcomes by time-updated TAA size, cma
<4.0 NA 3039 146 0 40 0.00 (0.00-0.00) 4.48 (3.78-5.30)
4.0-4.4 NA 9808 486 11 209 0.11 (0.06-0.20) 4.79 (4.38-5.25)
4.5-4.9 NA 5169 311 13 281 0.25 (0.15-0.43) 5.77 (5.15-6.46)
5.0-5.4 NA 1479 130 8 249 0.54 (0.27-1.08) 7.78 (6.48-9.34)
5.5-5.9 NA 348 47 4 97 1.15 (0.43-3.06) 12.62 (9.39-16.96)
≥6.0 NA 194 62 8 79 4.11 (2.05-8.21) 27.21 (20.79-35.62)

Abbreviation: NA, not applicable.

a

Patients were classified into TAA size bins based on each new imaging study across follow-up, and outcomes of aortic dissection or death were attributed to the most recent TAA size prior to the event. The time at risk within each aortic size bin began at the date of each new imaging study and extended until the next imaging study or censoring event. Sample size not populated as patients changed categories over time. Percentages were not calculated for death, aortic dissection or rupture, or aortic surgery due to lack of relevant denominator.

b

Rate of aortic dissection and rate of aortic dissection or all-cause death were censored at aortic surgery for those who underwent surgery.