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. 2022 Sep 20:10.1111/jpc.16213. Online ahead of print. doi: 10.1111/jpc.16213

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© 2022 Paediatrics and Child Health Division (The Royal Australasian College of Physicians).

This article is being made freely available through PubMed Central as part of the COVID-19 public health emergency response. It can be used for unrestricted research re-use and analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source, for the duration of the public health emergency.

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Fig. 1 — Median number of daily COVID‐19 deaths based on excess mortality estimates (grey vertical bars) in the first year of vaccination and modelled numbers of deaths averted. (), Excess mortality data; (), model fit to excess mortality; (), model fit without vaccines; (), deaths averted by vaccines (direct); (), deaths averted by vaccines (indirect).

Inline graphic — Median number of daily COVID‐19 deaths based on excess mortality estimates (grey vertical bars) in the first year of vaccination and modelled numbers of deaths averted. (), Excess mortality data; (), model fit to excess mortality; (), model fit without vaccines; (), deaths averted by vaccines (direct); (), deaths averted by vaccines (indirect).