TABLE 3.
Procedure | Outcome | Risk thresholds (%) | Harm to benefit ratio | Associated Hb cut‐off (g/L) | No. true positives | No. false positives | No. true negatives | No. false negatives | NB per 1000 patients: Hb (g/L) vs. none | NR per 100 patients: Hb (g/L) vs. all |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
THA | Post‐operative Hb below transfusion trigger (70 g/L) | 1 | 1:99 | <116 | 16 | 434 | 4336 | 7 | 2.4 | 76 |
0.75 | 1:133 | <118 | 18 | 533 | 4237 | 5 | 2.9 | 74.6 | ||
0.5 | 1:199 | <122 | 19 | 817 | 3953 | 4 | 3.2 | 67.6 | ||
0.25 | 1:399 | <127 | 20 | 1334 | 3436 | 3 | 3.5 | 46.7 | ||
0.1 | 1:999 | <139 | 23 | 3003 | 1767 | 0 | 3.9 | 10.5 | ||
Post‐operative Hb below transfusion trigger (80 g/L) | 1 | 1:99 | <136 | 130 | 2478 | 2177 | 8 | 22 | 30.1 | |
0.75 | 1:133 | <138 | 132 | 2755 | 1900 | 6 | 23.2 | 23.1 | ||
0.5 | 1:199 | <143 | 135 | 3393 | 1262 | 3 | 24.7 | 16.5 | ||
0.25 | 1:399 | <149 | 137 | 3950 | 705 | 1 | 26.5 | 6.4 | ||
0.1 | 1:999 | <164 | 138 | 4576 | 79 | 0 | 27.9 | 5 | ||
Post‐operative blood transfusion a | 1 | 1:99 | <153 | 292 | 3552 | 368 | 9 | 60.7 | −12.4 | |
0.75 | 1:133 | <156 | 297 | 3677 | 243 | 4 | 63.8 | −6.8 | ||
0.5 | 1:199 | <162 | 298 | 3823 | 97 | 3 | 66.1 | −11.6 | ||
0.25 | 1:399 | <169 | 300 | 3886 | 34 | 1 | 68.8 | −8.6 | ||
0.1 | 1:999 | <185 | 301 | 3917 | 3 | 0 | 70.4 | 0.2 | ||
TKA | Post‐operative Hb below transfusion trigger (80 g/L) | 1 | 1:99 | <123 | 29 | 443 | 1733 | 1 | 11.1 | 74.1 |
0.75 | 1:133 | <125 | 29 | 538 | 1638 | 1 | 11.3 | 68.3 | ||
0.5 | 1:199 | <128 | 29 | 681 | 1495 | 1 | 11.6 | 58.7 | ||
0.25 | 1:399 | <132 | 29 | 922 | 1254 | 1 | 12.1 | 38.8 | ||
0.1 | 1:999 | <143 | 30 | 1588 | 588 | 0 | 13 | 39.1 | ||
Post‐operative blood transfusion a | 1 | 1:99 | <144 | 77 | 1450 | 479 | 6 | 31.2 | −3.5 | |
0.75 | 1:133 | <147 | 80 | 1581 | 348 | 3 | 33.8 | −2.4 | ||
0.5 | 1:199 | <152 | 82 | 1754 | 175 | 1 | 35.9 | −9.7 | ||
0.25 | 1:399 | <159 | 83 | 1868 | 61 | 0 | 38.9 | 3 | ||
0.1 | 1:999 | <177 | 83 | 1929 | 0 | 0 | 40.3 | 0.3 |
Abbreviations: THA, total hip arthroplasty; TKA, total knee arthroplasty; Hb, haemoglobin; NB, net benefit; NR, net reduction.
Blood transfusion based on data from 2013 to 2018.