TABLE 2.
Variable | Variable categories | Events/PY | IR/1000 PY (95% CI) | Crude IRR (95% CI) | p‐Value | Global p | Adjusted IRR (95% CI) | p‐Value | Global p |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ART class | INSTIs | 694/5441.7 | 127.5 (118.4–137.4) | INSTI vs NNRTI a : 1.38 (1.17–1.63) | <0.001 | <0.001 | INSTI vs. NNRTI a : 1.76 (1.47–2.11) | <0.001 | <0.001 |
INSTI vs PIs b : 0.69 (0.58–0.81) | <0.001 | INSTI vs PIs b : 1.07 (0.89–1.29) | 0.460 | ||||||
NNRTIs | 180/1948.2 | 92.4 (79.8–106.9) | |||||||
PIs | 184/990.4 | 185.8 (160.8–214.7) | |||||||
Sex | Male | 841/6119.0 | 137.4 (128.5–147.1) | 1.43 (1.23–1.66) | <0.001 | <0.001 | 1.11 (0.94–1.30) | 0.217 | 0.217 |
Female | 217/2261.4 | 96.0 (84.0–109.6) | Ref | Ref | |||||
Race | White | 72/601.4 | 119.7 (95.0–150.8) | Ref | <0.001 | Ref | <0.001 | ||
Black | 807/5771.8 | 139.8 (130.5–149.8) | 0.86 (0.67–1.09) | 0.207 | 0.98 (0.76–1.25) | 0.858 | |||
Other c | 179/2007.2 | 89.2 (77.0–103.2) | 0.64 (0.54–0.75) | <0.001 | 0.63 (0.53–0.74) | <0.001 | |||
Treatment experience | Prior ART | 497/4894.5 | 101.5 (93.0–110.9) | Ref | <0.001 | Ref | 0.001 | ||
ART naïve | 561/3485.8 | 160.9 (148.2–174.8) | 1.58 (1.j–1.79) | <0.001 | 1.44 (1.14–1.81) | 0.002 | |||
Prior AIDS | Yes | 195/1248.5 | 156.2 (135.7–179.7) | 1.29 (1.10–1.51) | 0.001 | <0.001 | 1.31 (1.11–1.54) | 0.001 | <0.001 |
No | 863/7131.9 | 121.0 (113.2–129.4) | Ref | Ref | |||||
Smoking history | Never | 280/2538.1 | 110.3 (98.1–124.0) | Ref | 0.045 | Ref | 0.003 | ||
Current | 384/3223.6 | 119.1 (107.8–131.7) | 1.08 (0.93–1.26) | 0.328 | 1.14 (0.97–1.33) | 0.116 | |||
Prior | 110/927.2 | 118.6 (98.4–143.0) | 1.08 (0.86–1.34) | 0.518 | 1.13 (0.90–1.41) | 0.298 | |||
Unknown | 284/1691.4 | 167.9 (149.5–188.6) | 1.52 (1.29–1.80) | <0.001 | 1.39 (1.17–1.66) | <0.001 | |||
Diabetes mellitus | Yes | 38/207.3 | 183.3 (133.4–252.0) | 1.53 (1.10–2.12) | 0.010 | 0.010 | 1.12 (0.80–1.56) | 0.510 | 0.003 |
No | 871/7261.3 | 120.0 (112.2–128.2) | Ref | Ref | |||||
Unknown | 149/911.8 | 163.4 (139.2–191.9) | 1.36 (1.15–1.62) | <0.001 | 1.37 (1.14–1.64) | 0.001 | |||
Age | Per 5 years | 1058/8380.4 | 126.2 (118.9–134.1) | 1.11 (1.07–1.14) | <0.001 | <0.001 | 1.16 (1.12–1.19) | <0.001 | <0.001 |
Baseline HDL (mg/dl) | <40 | 324/2362.4 | 137.1 (123.0–152.9) | 1.31 (1.14–1.51) | <0.001 | <0.001 | 1.01 (0.87–1.17) | 0.938 | 0.684 |
≥40 | 474/4524.7 | 104.8 (95.7–114.6) | Ref | Ref | |||||
Unknown | 260/1493.2 | 174.1 (154.2–196.6) | 1.66 (1.43–1.93) | <0.001 | 1.32 (1.12–1.55) | 0.001 | |||
Baseline TRIG (mg/dl) | <200 | 684/6000.9 | 114.0 (105.8–122.9) | Ref | 0.018 | Ref | 0.220 | ||
≥200 | 157/1117.0 | 140.6 (120.2–164.4) | 1.23 (1.04–1.47) | 0.018 | 1.14 (0.96–1.37) | 0.145 | |||
Unknown | 217/1262.4 | 171.9 (150.5–196.4) | 1.51 (1.29–1.76) | <0.001 | 1.26 (1.08–1.48) | 0.004 | |||
HIV RNA (copies/ml) | <200 | 525/5128.9 | 102.4 (94.0–111.5) | Ref | <0.001 | Ref | 0.314 | ||
≥200 | 533/3251.4 | 163.9 (150.6–178.5) | 1.60 (1.42–1.81) | <0.001 | 1.11 (0.90–1.36) | 0.314 | |||
Baseline CD4 (cells/ml) | <350 | 365/1885.3 | 193.6 (174.7–214.5) | 1.90 (1.65–2.17) | <0.001 | <0.001 | 1.48 (1.27–1.74) | <0.001 | <0.001 |
350–499 | 225/1910.3 | 117.8 (103.4–134.2) | 1.15 (0.98–1.35) | 0.078 | 1.06 (0.90–1.25) | 0.514 | |||
>499 | 468/4584.8 | 102.1 (93.2–111.8) | Ref | Ref | |||||
Nadir CD4 (cells/ml) | <200 | 416/2888.2 | 144.0 (130.8–158.6) | 1.25 (1.08–1.45) | 0.003 | 0.002 | 1.05 (0.85–1.29) | 0.668 | 0.563 |
200–349 | 326/2744 | 118.8 (106.6–132.4) | 1.03 (0.89–1.21) | 0.679 | 0.97 (0.81–1.18) | 0.776 | |||
>350 | 316/2748.2 | 115.0 (103.0–128.4) | Ref | Ref | |||||
BMI (kg/m2) | <25 | 570/5122.4 | 111.3 (102.5–120.8) | Ref | <0.001 | Ref | 0.039 | ||
25–29 | 251/1725.5 | 145.5 (128.5–164.6) | 1.31 (1.13–1.52) | <0.001 | 1.06 (0.91–1.24) | 0.452 | |||
>30 | 93/501.6 | 185.4 (151.3–227.2) | 1.67 (1.34–2.07) | <0.001 | 1.32 (1.05–1.65) | 0.015 | |||
Unknown | 144/1030.8 | 139.7 (118.6–164.5) | 1.26 (1.05–1.51) | 0.015 | 1.11 (0.92–1.34) | 0.284 | |||
HIV Duration (years) | <5 | 180/1705.2 | 105.6 (91.2–122.2) | 1.33 (1.08–1.64) | 0.007 | 0.007 | 0.86 (0.68–1.09) | 0.219 | 0.456 |
5+ | 173/2184.2 | 79.2 (68.2–91.9) | Ref | Ref | |||||
Unknown | 705/4490.9 | 157.0 (145.8–169.0) | 1.98 (1.68–2.34) | <0.001 | 1.65 (1.36–1.99) | <0.001 | |||
GFR (ml/min/1.73 m2) | <90 | 312/2251.5 | 138.6 (124.0–154.8) | 1.23 (1.08–1.41) | 0.002 | 0.002 | 1.12 (0.96–1.30) | 0.151 | 0.120 |
>90 | 626/5572 | 112.3 (103.9–121.5) | Ref | Ref | |||||
Unknown | 120/556.9 | 215.5 (180.2–257.7) | 1.92 (1.58–2.33) | <0.001 | 1.37 (1.11–1.68) | 0.004 | |||
Lipid‐lowering therapy | Yes | 65/373.7 | 173.9 (136.4–221.8) | 1.40 (1.09–1.80) | 0.008 | 0.008 | 1.28 (0.98–1.66) | 0.068 | 0.068 |
No | 993/8006.6 | 124.0 (116.5–132.0) | Ref | Ref | |||||
SBP (mmHg) | <120 | 206/3336.1 | 61.7 (53.9–70.8) | Ref | <0.001 | Ref | <0.001 | ||
121–129 | 334/2729.4 | 122.4 (109.9–136.2) | 1.98 (1.67–2.36) | <0.001 | 1.58 (1.32–1.90) | <0.001 | |||
≥130 | 518 /2314.8 | 223.8 (205.3–243.9) | 3.62 (3.08–4.26) | <0.001 | 2.24 (1.86–2.69) | <0.001 | |||
DBP Categories (mmHg) | <80 | 370 /4867.6 | 76.0 (68.6–84.2) | Ref | <0.001 | Ref | <0.001 | ||
80–84 | 320/2088.4 | 153.2 (137.3–171.0) | 2.02 (1.74–2.34) | <0.001 | 1.55 (1.32–1.82) | <0.001 | |||
≥85 | 368/1424.3 | 258.4 (233.3–286.2) | 3.40 (2.94–3.93) | <0.001 | 2.14 (1.82–2.52) | <0.001 | |||
ART duration | <5 years | 654/4373.8 | 149.5 (138.5–161.4) | Ref | <0.001 | Ref | <0.001 | ||
5–9 years | 160/1419.7 | 112.7 (96.5–131.6) | 0.75 (0.63–0.90) | 0.001 | 1.09 (0.84–1.41) | 0.529 | |||
≥10 years | 244/2586.9 | 94.3 (83.2–106.9) | 0.63 (0.54–0.73) | <0.001 | 0.72 (0.56–0.92) | 0.010 |
At the bivariable analysis stage, the mode of HIV transmission, baseline year, hepatitis B virus, hepatitis C virus, total cholesterol and low‐density lipoprotein cholesterol levels, and cardiovascular disease were not significant (global p > 0.200). These variables were not considered in the multivariable regression, and the parameter estimates for these excluded covariates are not presented. The final multivariable model was also adjusted for the nucleoside/nucleotide reverse transcriptase inhibitor backbone. The variables that were considered but not significant in the final multivariable regression model are in italics. The covariates that were significant in the final model are in bold. All lipids are in mg/dl; to convert triglycerides from mg/dl to mmol/L, divide by 88.57. For HDL, divide by 38.67.
Abbreviations: ART, antiretroviral therapy; BMI, body mass index; CI, confidence interval; DBP, diastolic blood pressure; GFR, glomerular filtration rate determined using the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration equation; HDL, high‐density lipoprotein; INSTI, integrase strand transfer inhibitors; IR, incidence rate; IRR, incidence rate ratio; NNRTI, non‐nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors; PI, protease inhibitors; PY, person‐years; SBP, systolic blood pressure; TRIG, triglycerides.
NNRTI is the reference group.
PI is the reference group.
Other categories (other than those stated), including unknown status.