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. 2022 Oct 13;60(4):2103181. doi: 10.1183/13993003.03181-2021

TABLE 3.

Overview of the identified studies for prognostic value and their main characteristics based on their underlying condition

Publication Subjects (n) Age (years) # Sex (M:F) Main inclusion criteria End-point Exercise parameters predicting events
Exercise dyspnoea
 Ho et al. 2020 [31] 714 57±16 292:422 Exercise dyspnoea;
LVEF ≥50%
All-cause mortality,
HF-related hospitalisation
mPAP/CO slope >3 WU, elevated TPG/CO slope and PAWP/CO slope
 Eisman et al. 2018 [32] 175 57±17 65:110 Exercise dyspnoea;
LVEF >50%,
PAWP <15 mmHg
HF-related hospitalisation,
HF-related mortality, elevation of resting PAWP in follow-up RHC >15 mmHg
PAWP/CO slope >2 WU
 Dorfs et al. 2014 [33] 355 61±11 120:235 Exercise dyspnoea and suspected HFpEF All-cause mortality Steep PAWP increase (>25.5 mmHg·W−1·kg−1)
Left heart disease
 Dobarro et al. 2020 [34] 33 74±8 30:3 Moderate to severe aortic stenosis, <85 years All-cause mortality, surgical aortic valve replacement, TAVI or planned intervention for AST PaO2 at peak exercise
 Huang et al. 2018 [35] 104 61±12 39:65 HFpEF (normal LVEF, no valvular heart disease) All-cause mortality,
HF-related hospitalisation
PVR >1 WU at peak exercise
 Rieth et al. 2017 [36] 167 65±12 125:42 HFrEF (LVEF ≤45%) All-cause mortality, LuTX and/or HTX, heart assist device Change in CO <1.154 L·min−1 and change in sPAP <17.5 mmHg
 Lewis et al. 2011 [12] 60 60±12 47:13 HFrEF (LVEF <40%, NYHA II–IV) All-cause mortality mPAP/W slope >median (0.25 mmHg·W−1), steep increase in mPAP followed by a plateau pattern
 Griffin et al. 1991 [37] 49 63±11 39:10 Congestive HF (symptoms >1 year) HF-related mortality PAWP at rest and exercise, peak stroke work index
 Szlachicic et al. 1985 [38] 27 56 27:0 Congestive HF (clinically stable) All-cause mortality Peak CI
 Gohlke et al. 1983 [39] 1772 50±6 1595:177 Coronary artery disease and normal or mildly impaired left ventricular function All-cause mortality Peak CO
Pulmonary arterial hypertension
 Faure et al. 2020 [40] 49 53±16 16:33 PAH All-cause mortality Change in HR and sPAP
 Tang et al. 2018 [41] 140 33±11 39:101 IPAH LuTX and/or HTX,
HF-related mortality
Change in HR, peak work rate, PVR and CI
 Hasler et al. 2016 [42] 70 65 (50–73) 27:43 PAH+CTEPH All-cause mortality, LuTX and/or HTX Maximal workload, peak and change in CI and mPAP/CO
 Chaouat et al. 2014 [43] 55 54±16 25:30 IPAH, heritable or anorexigen-associated PAH All-cause mortality, LuTX and/or HTX Peak CI, change in sPAP, change in CI
 Blumberg et al. 2013 [44] 36 54±15 15:21 PAH+CTEPH
(NYHA II–III)
All-cause mortality, LuTX and/or HTX mPAP/CO slope, peak CI
Systemic sclerosis
 Stamm et al. 2016 [45] 72 Range: 42–74 10:62 SSc with exercise dyspnoea±reduced DLCO or FVC/DLCO >1.6 All-cause mortality, LuTX and/or HTX Peak mPAP, mPAP increase, mPAP/W increase
COPD
 Olsen et al. 1989 [46] 29 64±5 29:0 Lung resection due to airflow obstruction and lung mass Postoperative death within 60 days or prolonged ventilation (>30 days) Peak CI
 Finlay et al. 1983  [47] 74 59 60:14 Clinically stable COPD, symptoms >3 years All-cause mortality Increase in mPAP+PVR during exercise

Exercise protocol was ergometry for all studies. M: male; F: female; LVEF: left ventricular ejection fraction; HF: heart failure; mPAP: mean pulmonary arterial pressure; CO: cardiac output; TPG: trans-pulmonary pressure gradient; PAWP: pulmonary arterial wedge pressure; RHC: right heart catheterisation; HFpEF: heart failure with preserved ejection fraction; HFrEF: heart failure with reduced ejection fraction; W: Watts; TAVI: transcatheter aortic valve implantation; AST: aortic stenosis; PaO2: partial pressure of oxygen; PVR: pulmonary vascular resistance; LuTX: lung transplantation; HTX: heart transplantation; sPAP: systolic pulmonary arterial pressure; NYHA: New York Heart Association; CI: cardiac index; PAH: pulmonary arterial hypertension; IPAH: idiopathic pulmonary arterial hypertension; CTEPH: chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension; SSc; systemic sclerosis; DLCO: diffusing capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide; FVC: forced vital capacity. #: data presented as mean±sd or mean (interquartile range), unless otherwise specified; : only exercise and not resting pulmonary haemodynamic parameters predicted the end-point.