Figure 2.

Models of rubella elimination

Time series of probability of rubella elimination by country (rows) between 2020 and 2100 for the JHU (A) and PHE (B) models. The probability of rubella elimination at 2050 by country for JHU (C) and PHE (D) models. The probability of achieving the elimination threshold of no more than five rubella infections per million people is shown as a proportion of 200 stochastic runs that would reach the threshold in the intensified investment vaccination scenario. (E) Time series of incident rubella infections for Ukraine, Ethiopia, Djibouti, and Papua New Guinea across 200 stochastic runs for JHU and PHE models; each line represents a different stochastic simulation. JHU=Johns Hopkins University. PHE=Public Health England.