C. Cost and Funding |
C.1–Production Cost Knowledge |
Hypotheses developed regarding technology impact on affordability. |
Cost model approach defined. |
Manufacturing cost estimates for system concepts developed. Initial cost models developed which include high-level process steps and materials. |
Cost estimates refined based on anticipated production volumes associated with preferred industrial solution. Cost model updated with identified cost drivers (e.g., process variables, manufacturing, materials, and special requirements). Cost driver uncertainty quantified. Cost model includes AoA. |
Prototype components produced in a production relevant environment or simulations drive end-to-end cost models. Cost model includes materials, labor, equipment, infrastructure, setup, yield/scrap/rework, capability/capacity constraints. |
Cost model updated with design requirements, material specifications, tolerances, integrated master schedule, results of system/subsystem simulations and production relevant prototype demonstrations. |
Cost model updated with the results of systems/sub- systems produced in a production representative environment, production plant layout and design, and obsolescence solutions. |
Cost models updated with results of production line build. |
FRP cost model updated with result of LRIP build. |
Cost model validated against actual FRP cost. |
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C.2–Cost Analysis |
Initial manufacturing and quality costs identified. |
Potential manufacturing and quality cost drivers and system affordability gaps identified. |
Analyses conducted to refine manufacturing and quality cost drivers, risks, and development strategy (e.g., lab to pilot to factory). Potential cost reduction and system affordability gap closure strategies identified. |
Production and lifecycle cost risks and issues assessed for preferred industrial solution. Initial cost analysis supports Analysis of Alternatives (AoA). |
Costs analyzed using prototype component actuals to ensure target costs are achievable. Decisions regarding design choices, make/buy, capacity, process capability, sources, quality, KPPs, yield/rate, and variability influenced by cost models. |
Costs analyzed using prototype system/sub- system actuals to ensure target costs are achievable. Cost targets allocated to sub-systems. Cost reduction and avoidance strategies developed. Manufacturing cost drivers for ‘‘Should-Cost’’ models provided. |
Mfg costs rolled up to system/sub-system level and tracked to targets. Detailed trade studies and engineering change requests supported by cost estimates. Cost reduction and avoidance strategies underway. Manufacturing cost drivers for ‘‘Should-Cost’’ models updated. |
Costs analyzed using production line actuals to ensure target costs are achievable. Manufacturing cost analysis supports proposed changes to requirements or configuration. Cost reduction initiatives ongoing. Manufacturing cost drivers for ‘‘Should-Cost’’ models updated. |
LRIP cost goals met and learning curve analyzed with actual data. Cost reduction initiatives ongoing. Touch labor efficiency analyzed to meet production rates and elements of inefficiency are identified with plans in place for reduction. |
FRP cost goals met. Cost reduction initiatives ongoing. |