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. 2022 Oct 13;26:100348. doi: 10.1016/j.smhl.2022.100348

Table 3.

Results demonstrating the MAE, RMSLE and RMSE of the daily infected cases for 83 counties of the state of Michigan with JHU data. The lowest MAE, RMSLE and RMSE are marked in bold.

Algorithm Forecasting
horizon
MAE RMSLE RMSE
ARIMA (Li, Yu, et al., 2018) Day 1 (H=1) 124.52 3.851 270.78
12 Days Mean 142.46 4.006 322.06

STGCN (Yu et al., 2018) Day 1 (H=1) 48.30 0.739 95.99
12 Days Mean 57.31 0.753 126.73

ASTGCN(r) (Guo et al., 2019) Day 1 (H=1) 47.50 0.772 97.14
12 Days Mean 55.20 0.785 122.10

Graph
WaveNet (Wu et al., 2019)
Day 1 (H=1) 41.34 0.658 87.97
12 Days Mean 64.05 0.879 143.61

STTN (Xu et al., 2020) Day 1 (H=1) 42.50 0.812 81.37
12 Days Mean 49.33 0.810 108.31

STSGT
(ours)
Day 1 (H=1) 22.04 0.430 40.78
12 Days Mean 39.47 0.543 90.82